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Post by HCFC45 on Jan 3, 2018 17:59:25 GMT -5
OK, the second game is in the books and the we've seen this story before... a game we could have and should have won! Our posters went 59/110 for 54%.Amazing that nobody, not even "somedaycamesuddenly" picked Boston Univ. over Bucknell  ! Back to PA and on to Lehigh! Rank / Poster / 01/02 / Total
1 bigfan 4/5 8/10 1 jflare 4/5 8/10 3 nycrusader2010 3/5 7/10 3 Tom 3/5 7/10 3 Sons of Vaval 4/5 7/10 3 somedaycamesuddenly 3/5 7/10 7 hcnation 3/5 6/10 7 alum 3/5 6/10 9 Crosser 1/5 5/10 9 sader1970 2/5 5/10 9 hc80 2/5 5/10 9 DiMarz 2/5 5/10 9 Worcester Gray 3/5 5/10 9 rgs318 3/5 5/10 9 KY Crusader 75 3/5 5/10 9 HCFC45 3/5 5/10 9 hc6774 4/5 5/10 18 thecrossisback 1/5 4/10 18 hc811215 1/5 4/10 18 A Clock TowerPurple 2/5 4/10 18 CHC8485 2/5 4/10 18 efg72 3/5 4/10 Friday, January 5, 2018Holy Cross @ Lehigh 6:00pm TV: Service Electric 2 Lafayette @ Colgate 7:00pm Boston Univ. @ Loyola 7:00pm American @ Navy 7:00pm Bucknell @ Army 7:00pm Please note the Holy Cross start time of 6:00pm
All picks must be in before 6:00pm, Friday, January 5, 2018 |
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Post by bigfan on Jan 3, 2018 18:08:29 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Boston Univ
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by efg72 on Jan 3, 2018 18:10:23 GMT -5
Holy Cross
Colgate
Boston Univ
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 3, 2018 18:53:11 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Boston Univ.
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by DiMarz on Jan 3, 2018 19:08:35 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Boston Univ
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 3, 2018 20:13:03 GMT -5
I must have been asleep at the switch for all these other posters beating me with their predictions. But, here goes and I swear I have not looked at the prior predictions, just that a bunch were made already:
Holy Cross @ Lehigh (my selection pretty much guarantees a win for the Crusaders but my real prediction is this game won't be played because the storm will prevent Silver Fox from getting there)
Lafayette @ Colgate (two weak teams but Colgate has home court advantage as the echos off the walls distracts opposing teams)
Boston Univ. @ Loyola (the Terriers are looking to get some momentum)
American @ Navy (AU plays that weak P.O. and we know that is a losing offense)
Bucknell @ Army (the Bison have to clearly show their superiority which was shaken by their loss to BU)
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Post by hc80 on Jan 4, 2018 11:45:15 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Boston University
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Jan 4, 2018 11:49:28 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Loyola
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 4, 2018 11:58:08 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
Loyola
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by A Clock Tower Purple on Jan 4, 2018 12:02:09 GMT -5
LEHIGH
LAFAYETTE
BU
NAVY
BUCKNELL
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Post by hcnation on Jan 5, 2018 6:27:15 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
B U
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by alum on Jan 5, 2018 10:34:01 GMT -5
Lehigh
Colgate
BU
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 5, 2018 10:36:22 GMT -5
Here's what I see for tonight
Lehigh- Our Crusaders are struggling mightily and need a win to change the momentum but it may not come tonight. I think if we replayed the @lafayette game 10 times we'd win 7 of them but we'll never know. Lehigh is a so-so team. Kyle Leufroy is playing very poorly but Kahron Ross is having another excellent season. Freshman Karnik is hot and cold on scoring but appears to be a strong rebounder. Lehigh is a short team--can we do anything with that? I see Lehigh winning and hope I'm dead wrong
Colgate-- Colgate is 5-0 at home--amazing what 300 friendly fans can do for a team. Lafayette is a very weak team, beating HC when we could not buy a three. Colgate is a very good shooting team that relies on the three ( #7 in D-1 for 3 ptrs as a % of scoring) . What will be interesting to see is how Colgate defends against Petrie as he launches his threes from his waist. Petrie is 14/18 against HC and St Peter's and 17/55 against everyone else. Of course you can skew anyone's figures by picking best or worst games, but we'll see how closely Colgate guards him.
Boston University-- BU beat Bucknell on the road with Nick Havener out of the game. Freshman Walter Whyte and soph Tyler Scanlon look like they picked up some extra minutes and played well. Loyola is not a deep team and has had injuries. Andre Walker is playing 35 minutes a game --he had good games last two versus Army and Navy but has struggled offensively in others. Kostecka s 7/24 on threes (small sample) after shooting very well as a freshman. Loyola is 3-0 when eff fg pctg is better than 52%: that's a low bar that they seldom clear.
Navy-- The US Navy rules the seas but I see the midshipmen ruling the boards in this game. Navy is #107 offensive rebounding team while AU is #285 guarding against o-boards. At the other end AU is #303 going for its misses while Navy is #30 in defending o-boards. So, Navy should get some extra chances (they're both semi-weak on turnovers) and convert. Navy is 10-1 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) better than 47% and AU's defense yields 54.5%.
Bucknell-- This is a tough one as Army is a decent team and 3-0 at home and we have Bucknell's surprise loss to BU to consider. Bucknell outrebounded BU 40-28 but had its 2nd worst shooting night of the year, shooting both 2's and 3's poorly against the country's #307 shooting defense. I hate to say it but "shots were not falling" for the Bison. Zach Thomas was 1/6 on threes and he has proven himself to be one of the few best 3 point shooters in the PL. Army is #1 in 3 point percentage in D-1 at a scorching 43.9% and has hit at 38.5% or better in 11 of 13 games. Its second worst game was 35%. Army is 0-4 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) below 54% and Bucknell's defense averages 52.0% with all but 3 games below that 54% benchmark. Bucknell has won its last 7 games verus Army and I see the Bsion making it an octet today.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 5, 2018 10:47:22 GMT -5
Lehigh- Our Crusaders are struggling mightily and need a win to change the momentum but it may not come tonight. I think if we replayed the @lafayette game 10 times we'd win 7 of them but we'll never know. Lehigh is a so-so team. Kyle Leufroy is playing very poorly but Kahron Ross is having another excellent season. Freshman Karnik is hot and cold on scoring but appears to be a strong rebounder. Lehigh is a short team--can we do anything with that? I see Lehigh winning and hope I'm dead wrong I don't think we'll win, but may actually have a better shot tonight. Lehigh is mediocre at both ends, they don't shoot a ton of threes, and their offense is often helter-skelter and overly-reliant on one-on-one play. They don't rebound well either, and The Doctor's in-game management skills are underwhelming. Last meeting we beat them handily, a game in which they had more TOs than FGs, so maybe we can force a higher number of mistakes - so far this year, they've taken good care of the ball. If, as reported, Tejada can't go, that's a problem for them, too. |
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Post by bison137 on Jan 5, 2018 11:30:17 GMT -5
Bucknell-- This is a tough one as Army is a decent team and 3-0 at home and we have Bucknell's surprise loss to BU to consider. Bucknell outrebounded BU 40-28 but had its 2nd worst shooting night of the year, shooting both 2's and 3's poorly against the country's #307 shooting defense. I hate to say it but "shots were not falling" for the Bison. Zach Thomas was 1/6 on threes and he has proven himself to be one of the few best 3 point shooters in the PL. Army is #1 in 3 point percentage in D-1 at a scorching 43.9% and has hit at 38.5% or better in 11 of 13 games. Its second worst game was 35%. Army is 0-4 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) below 54% and Bucknell'd defense averages 52.0% with all but 3 games below that 54% benchmark. Bucknell has won its last 7 games verus Army and I see the Bsion making it an octer today. I see it as a toss-up. Bucknell continues to be down two starters, and has now also lost Nate Sestina, who has been playing really well. Thomas btw was playing with the flu vs Boston U and threw up a couple of times during the game. Had no legs on his threes. |
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Post by lou on Jan 5, 2018 11:42:35 GMT -5
25 pts, 13 rebounds, not bad for a sick guy
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Post by HCFC45 on Jan 5, 2018 11:55:31 GMT -5
Bucknell-- This is a tough one as Army is a decent team and 3-0 at home and we have Bucknell's surprise loss to BU to consider. Bucknell outrebounded BU 40-28 but had its 2nd worst shooting night of the year, shooting both 2's and 3's poorly against the country's #307 shooting defense. I hate to say it but "shots were not falling" for the Bison. Zach Thomas was 1/6 on threes and he has proven himself to be one of the few best 3 point shooters in the PL. Army is #1 in 3 point percentage in D-1 at a scorching 43.9% and has hit at 38.5% or better in 11 of 13 games. Its second worst game was 35%. Army is 0-4 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) below 54% and Bucknell'd defense averages 52.0% with all but 3 games below that 54% benchmark. Bucknell has won its last 7 games verus Army and I see the Bsion making it an octer today. I see it as a toss-up. Bucknell continues to be down two starters, and has now also lost Nate Sestina, who has been playing really well. Thomas btw was playing with the flu vs Boston U and threw up a couple of times during the game. Had no legs on his threes. Interesting comments by bison! Wonder if anybody will change their "pick" for this game.... You have another 6 hours to contemplate such! If there is one thing sure about the PL that we have seen over the years --- anybody is capable of beating any other team on a given night! ! |
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Post by somedaycamesuddenly on Jan 5, 2018 12:12:59 GMT -5
Bucknell-- This is a tough one as Army is a decent team and 3-0 at home and we have Bucknell's surprise loss to BU to consider. Bucknell outrebounded BU 40-28 but had its 2nd worst shooting night of the year, shooting both 2's and 3's poorly against the country's #307 shooting defense. I hate to say it but "shots were not falling" for the Bison. Zach Thomas was 1/6 on threes and he has proven himself to be one of the few best 3 point shooters in the PL. Army is #1 in 3 point percentage in D-1 at a scorching 43.9% and has hit at 38.5% or better in 11 of 13 games. Its second worst game was 35%. Army is 0-4 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) below 54% and Bucknell'd defense averages 52.0% with all but 3 games below that 54% benchmark. Bucknell has won its last 7 games verus Army and I see the Bsion making it an octer today. Thomas btw was playing with the flu vs Boston U and threw up a couple of times during the game. Had no legs on his threes. Doesn't help when you decide to take NBA distance 3's and miss early in the shot clock like: see - 11:26 see - 1:27:40 see - 142:50 see - 159:38 watchstadium.com/live/boston-university-at-bucknell-3/All very low percentage shots to take flu or not. The one three he made was a corner three, one of the best shots to take. 4 of the others were poor shot selection, with the last one being excusable with 11 seconds left. |
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 5, 2018 12:23:06 GMT -5
Thomas may have had a bad day versus BU (shot selection, flu, etc) , but for his career he is 143-334 =.428 on threes. which would be #4 on the HC all-time 3 pt percentage list.
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Post by somedaycamesuddenly on Jan 5, 2018 12:25:47 GMT -5
A tough slate of games to pick overall. BU - Loyola and the Army - Bucknell games are toss-up games to pick. I don't think BU has established ourselves as a contender or even a top team yet due to our weak OOC play and Loyola is always a tough match-up, especially in Reitz. Army is the best three-point shooting team in the country but I have questions about them putting it together during PL play since they often fall short and Bucknell has had some injuries and isn't' as good defensively as last year so far.
Picks:
Loyola
Army
Lehigh
Navy
Colgate
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Post by bison137 on Jan 5, 2018 12:42:16 GMT -5
Thomas btw was playing with the flu vs Boston U and threw up a couple of times during the game. Had no legs on his threes. Doesn't help when you decide to take NBA distance 3's and miss early in the shot clock like: see - 11:26 see - 1:27:40 see - 142:50 see - 159:38 watchstadium.com/live/boston-university-at-bucknell-3/All very low percentage shots to take flu or not. The one three he made was a corner three, one of the best shots to take. 4 of the others were poor shot selection, with the last one being excusable with 11 seconds left. You couldn't be more wrong. Over the past two years, Thomas has hit well over 40% on shots from 5-7 feet behind the arc. That is why you see opposing teams guarding him almost as soon as he crosses midcourt. He almost never gets a three point attempt from near the arc because of the way he is guarded. Over the past two years, he is hitting over 43% on his threes - and most are from well behind the arc. If he is healthy, any shot from within 28 feet is a good shot. |
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Post by Tom on Jan 5, 2018 12:43:13 GMT -5
HC
Colgate
Loyola
Navy
Bucknell
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Post by somedaycamesuddenly on Jan 5, 2018 12:58:42 GMT -5
Doesn't help when you decide to take NBA distance 3's and miss early in the shot clock like: see - 11:26 see - 1:27:40 see - 142:50 see - 159:38 watchstadium.com/live/boston-university-at-bucknell-3/All very low percentage shots to take flu or not. The one three he made was a corner three, one of the best shots to take. 4 of the others were poor shot selection, with the last one being excusable with 11 seconds left. You couldn't be more wrong. Over the past two years, Thomas has hit well over 40% on shots from 5-7 feet behind the arc. That is why you see opposing teams guarding him almost as soon as he crosses midcourt. He almost never gets a three point attempt from near the arc because of the way he is guarded. Over the past two years, he is hitting over 43% on his threes - and most are from well behind the arc. If he is healthy, any shot from within 28 feet is a good shot. Do you have any stats to back that up or is this your own anecdotal observation? I don't believe he is hitting over 40% from 5-7 feet behind the arc. That would put him 2-4 feet back from NBA range, not buying it with nothing more than your word. So if he is not healthy, then you have to admit his shot selection was poor, no? If those 5-7 feet out shots are good one's for him to take then I look forward to watching Zach "Steph Curry" Thomas's long NBA career chucking 3's from near midcourt. |
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Post by bison137 on Jan 5, 2018 13:11:34 GMT -5
Well. you are totally wrong. It's conservative to say he is hitting 40% from 6-feet behind the arc, as any PL coach would tell you. If he doesn't hit a good pct of those shots, then why does every team generally pick him up at least 8 feet behind the arc? I suggest you ask Joe Jones if he thinks Thomas hits a good pct of threes from way behind the arc. At some point, I will link some other videos.
As for whether they were good shots, it's hard for a player with the flu to judge how he will shoot threes. But had you been paying attention, you would know that five of his six 3-point attempts came with Foulland out of the game. (He missed the majority of the game due to foul problems.) With no Foulland, plus missing injured starters Kimbal Mackenzie and Avi Toomer, Bucknell did not have a lot of firepower on the court - especially with Brown having a mediocre game.
And why introduce an idiotic notion of him shooting 3's from near midcourt. He has never taken one, and I never claimed he did.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 5, 2018 14:07:34 GMT -5
This is entertaining, two guys from other neighborhoods coming to our block to fight!
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