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Post by rgs318 on Jan 6, 2019 16:11:14 GMT -5
Massey has HC as a 3 point favorite (73-70) with a 60% chance for the win. GO CROSS.
UPDATE 1/7 - Now, according to Massey, HC has a 56% chance for he win. HC is now a 2 point favorite (71-69).
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 6, 2019 17:09:47 GMT -5
Coming into today's game vs. Loyola, Lehigh was shooting almost as well from three (46.7%) as from two (47.1%). The Mountain Hawks continue to lead the nation in 3FG%.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 6, 2019 22:28:42 GMT -5
Word on the Lehigh board is that sophomore guard Marques Wilson, a key guy off the bench, is out indefinitely, due to academic issues.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 7, 2019 8:10:43 GMT -5
Lehigh "Four Factors" Offensive Category, Rank EFG%, 19th - Excellent TO%, 160th - Average OR%, 313th - Poor FTR, 219th - Fair
Defensive . . . EFG%, 59th - Excellent TO%, 307th - Poor DR%, 240th - Fair FTR, 136th - Good
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 7, 2019 8:13:12 GMT -5
Holy Cross "Four Factors" Offensive Category, Rank EFG%, 102nd - Good TO%, 79th - Good OR%, 325th - Poor FTR, 330th - Poor
Defensive . . . EFG%, 127th - Good TO%, 37th - Excellent DR%, 320th - Poor FTR, 95th - Good
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 7, 2019 8:25:50 GMT -5
Since the end of November, Lehigh has made at least 40% of their threes in every game, and are 71/138 (51%) overall from deep during that span.
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Post by Tom on Jan 7, 2019 9:09:49 GMT -5
I'll be the first to throw this out. If HC has realistic hopes of being in the hunt for the league title, they must beat the top contenders in Worcester. Some will say there are only "must win" games in March, but this is pretty darn close
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 7, 2019 9:41:39 GMT -5
Every team has lost at least one game except Navy and Lehigh. Navy is not a serious threat to win the league despite beating us last night. Tom is absolutely right that this is an early “must win” game in order to have control over our own destiny and not have to count on others to beat the favorite teams. A win puts us in a tie for first assuming Navy loses its next game.
Hopefully 🤞McCarthy not at the Hart next game.😂
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Post by hchoops on Jan 7, 2019 9:48:46 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return
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Post by HCFC45 on Jan 7, 2019 10:32:49 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return Granted he does other games in addition to the PL. But he is still doing PL games as recently as the Bucknell / Army game last week at West Point!
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 7, 2019 10:36:01 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return Granted he does other games in addition to the PL. But he is still doing PL games as recently as the Bucknell / Army game last week at West Point! here's a list of the games he has refereed this season kenpom.com/referee.php?r=714285
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Post by bison137 on Jan 7, 2019 10:37:48 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return Not far beyond. His most common games are A10. He did get Wisconsin-Penn State the other day, but he has done only two P6 games in the last 2+ years. He does at least five PL games every year, and had eight last year. He was the lead ref at Bucknell-Army last week.
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Post by hchoops on Jan 7, 2019 10:43:27 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return Not far beyond. His most common games are A10. He did get Wisconsin-Penn State the other day, but he has done only two P6 games in the last 2+ years. Do these two include our Michigan game this season ? then it is two this season already.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 7, 2019 10:51:09 GMT -5
No. I was just talking about conference games.
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Post by Tom on Jan 7, 2019 10:59:34 GMT -5
My guess is that he has moved beyond the PL We May wish for his return Actually, I don't think anyone is calling McCarthy a bad ref. Over time, a bad refs bad calls and non-calls will even out for each team. McCarthy is a maliciously anti HC ref whose bias is different than his competence.
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Post by hchoops on Jan 7, 2019 11:02:10 GMT -5
And exactly why would McCarthy have that bias ?
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 7, 2019 11:12:42 GMT -5
I think it's personal - he doesn't like 45. Can't be me because when I had courtside seats he tried to have a "stop & chat" (watch "Curb Your Enthusiasm" to get this) with me pre-game. He probably thought I had money (bad mistake to assume that). 45 was watching me, so I gave McCarthy the silent treatment. Or maybe he tried to get into Holy Cross and was rejected?
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 7, 2019 11:22:30 GMT -5
Is the common belief that McCarthy is an incompetent or that he hates Holy Cross? Is he the modern dat version of Charlie Diehl, the ref we hated to see courtside before a Crusader game in the 1970's?
In the last four HC games McCarthy has reffed we have been called for a lot of fouls
Dec 22 2017 Siena 71 Holy Cross 65. 25 fouls on HC 16 on Siena
Feb 7, 2018 Navy 69 Holy Cross 34. 15 fouls on HC 9 on Navy [this was the infamous first game after the suspensions]
Nov 10, 2018 Michigan 56 Holy Cross 37. 17 fouls on Holy Cross 8 on Michigan
Nov 28, 2018 Harvard 73 Holy Cross 62. 17 fouls on Holy Cross 11 on Harvard
So- 4 losses for HC with 74 fouls on Holy Cross versus 44 on the opponents
In the prior 5 McCarthy reffed games HC won 3 times and fouls were 79 on Holy Cross versus 82 on Opponents
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 7, 2019 11:28:03 GMT -5
I'm mostly having fun as I am a "McCarthy agnostic," but the folks in the Hart think it's the latter and your numbers are an indication, not proof, but an indication there might be something to it. 45, Tom and others can speak for themselves.
Edit: my post above was prior to KY editing and adding this part:
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 7, 2019 11:30:32 GMT -5
Over time, a bad refs bad calls and non-calls will even out for each team. That's right. It's also true that certain teams don't get to the line as often because of the way their offense operates. Not in and of itself a good or bad thing - it just is.
FTR Rank, Princeton
1997-98, 268th 1998-99, 277th 1999-00, 247th
FTR Rank, Northwestern 2000-01, 261st 2001-02, 145th 2002-03, 165th 2003-04, 268th 2004-05, 267th 2005-06, 311th 2006-07, 335th 2007-08, 339th 2008-09, 324th 2009-10, 242nd 2010-11, 322nd 2011-12, 242nd
FTR Rank, Holy Cross 2015-16, 188th 2016-17, 204th 2017-18, 284th 2018-19, 330th
19-Year Average: 264th
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Post by hchoops on Jan 7, 2019 11:35:42 GMT -5
My, Considering the earlier 5 games indicate no bias, and the Michigan game with the disparity of talent proves little, I would suggest 3 games out of 9 prove no bias. And why would he have any bias ? If CBC or RW before him sensed it, he would not be reffing our games.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 7, 2019 11:43:51 GMT -5
As one who believes in using facts to bolster an argument, I'd have to say that it would be very tough to make a case that McCarthy is biased based on these last 9 games.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 7, 2019 11:51:15 GMT -5
It's also true that certain teams, by the nature of the way they play, don't commit a lot of fouls. PF/G Rank, Princeton. 1997-98, 8th 1998-99, 3rd 1999-00, 12th
PF/G Rank, Northwestern. 2000-01, 23rd 2001-02, 6th 2002-03, 64th 2003-04, 8th 2004-05, 23rd 2005-06, 30th 2006-07, 8th 2007-08, 121st 2008-09, 129th 2009-10, 220th 2010-11, 60th 2011-12, 29th 2012-13, 87th
PF/G Rank, Holy Cross. 2015-16, 25th 2016-17, 25th 2017-18, 116th 2018-19, 14th
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Post by Non Alum Dave on Jan 7, 2019 12:10:04 GMT -5
I hope our guys are more concerned with defending the 3 point line......45's a big boy, he can work the refs all by himself.
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Post by Tom on Jan 7, 2019 12:36:04 GMT -5
And exactly why would McCarthy have that bias ? According to a fellow poster who shall remain anonymous, it is because he is an evil human being and is jealous of the fine moral character of the HC community
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