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Post by rgs318 on Jan 21, 2019 11:39:13 GMT -5
Massey makes HC a 1 point favorite at Army on Wednesday (69-68) with a 52% chance for the win. That is, in effect, a Massey "toss up." If HC loses the rebounding battle, I believe that will decide the game. Take the boards - or at least break even - and the Crusaders can win.
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 21, 2019 11:40:39 GMT -5
The Cadets are 9-10, BUT they have won 4 of their last 5 games with the only loss a close 2 point game against Loyola (and we know how that can happen). Their wins where over Lafayette, Boston U, Colgate and Navy.
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Post by lou on Jan 21, 2019 12:20:52 GMT -5
Army also managed to blow a 26 point lead in 20 minutes vs Bucknell, so there's that too
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Jan 21, 2019 12:27:17 GMT -5
Army also managed to blow a 26 point lead in 20 minutes vs Bucknell, so there's that too We lost to one of the worst teams in the league at home, so there's also that.
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 21, 2019 12:51:09 GMT -5
It seems in the past couple of years I would often ask myself, "which Holy Cross team will show up today?"
Earlier this year, it appeared that we were getting some consistency of play and pretty much knew how the team was going to play. But, over the last few games, we are back to the inconsistency of the past.
I still haven't watched the Loyola replay. Not sure I can bring myself to doing so.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 21, 2019 14:11:49 GMT -5
Army also managed to blow a 26 point lead in 20 minutes vs Bucknell, so there's that too In that game, Bucknell early in the second half went on a 27-4 run over a 6 minute span with Jimmy Allen not making any defensive adjustments. Sestina had 17 points in 5 minutes during that stretch. Army finally tried a different approach on D, but they had let Bucknell back into the game by that time.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 21, 2019 16:09:10 GMT -5
Army "Four Factors" Offensive Category, Rank EFG%, 226th - Fair TO%, 36th - Excellent OR%, 344th - Poor FTR, 344th - Poor
Defensive . . . EFG%,286th - Poor TO%, 136th - Good DR%, 95th - Good FTR 56th- Excellent
Advanced Game-logs
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 21, 2019 16:16:48 GMT -5
Holy Cross "Four Factors"
Offensive Category Rank EFG%, 49th - Excellent TO%, 61st - Excellent OR%, 328th - Poor FTR,333rd - Poor
Defensive . . . EFG%, 208th - Average TO%, 62nd - Excellent DR%, 312th - Poor FTR , 83rd - Good
Advanced Game-Logs
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 21, 2019 16:25:02 GMT -5
Army hasn't been a particularly good shooting team this season, but over 50% EFG in three of the last four games (all three of which they've won). They're 7-2 this year when they do that.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 21, 2019 16:25:15 GMT -5
Holy Cross beat Army twice last year, despite getting embarrassed on the boards in both games. In the first game, at the Hart Center, Army's rebounding got the Cadets 7 more field goals attempts, but we defended well against their twos and won 70-66 after leading 41-30 at the half. Army had the lead with 2-3 minutes to play but HC prevailed. Jehyve was the MVP with 18 points and 4 blocks. In game 2, in NY, Army managed 17 offensive rebounds and that helped the team to 14 extra field goal attempts but Army went 8-26 on threes (HC 10-22) and 15-33 on twos (HC 13-23) and HC, down 65-64 with a minute to play scored the last 6 points to win. Caleb Green had 18 points fueled by 4-5 on threes.
We can't let Army have 10 or 12 more field goal attempts and expect to win
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Post by hchoops on Jan 21, 2019 16:27:17 GMT -5
Army also managed to blow a 26 point lead in 20 minutes vs Bucknell, so there's that too We lost to one of the worst teams in the league at home, so there's also that. Loyola is in a 3 way tie for 4th place
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Jan 21, 2019 16:43:48 GMT -5
We lost to one of the worst teams in the league at home, so there's also that. Loyola is in a 3 way tie for 4th place Ranked 290th in the country. They're a bad team.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 21, 2019 16:57:14 GMT -5
Holy Cross defense has allowed five out of six PL opponents to shoot at a 55%+ EFG clip. That only happened twice in the thirteen OOC games.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 21, 2019 17:00:25 GMT -5
Holy Cross defense has allowed five out of six PL opponents to shoot at a 55%+ EFG clip. That only happened twice in the thirteen OOC games. Yes-- as much as we discuss how opponents can prepare to stop the Princeton Offense, they may have made greater progress in preparing to beat our defense.
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 21, 2019 17:28:14 GMT -5
PROBABLE STARTERS: 3 Funk, Tommy G (Jr 6'0" 195) 13 ppg / 4 rpg / 6 apg / 32 mpg 14 Wilson, Matt F (Jr 6'9" 245) 14 ppg / 8 rpg / 1 apg / 26 mpg 35 King, Alex F (So 6'8" 200) 8 ppg / 3 rpg / 1 apg / 21 mpg 10 Kessler, Jacob G (Sr 6'4" 193) 3 ppg / 2 rpg / 1 apg / 13 mpg 1 Fox, Jordan G (Sr 6'1" 190) 10 ppg / 3 rpg / 3 apg / 28 mpg
TOP SUBS: 13 Grayson, Lonnie G (So 6'0" 175) 6 ppg / 2 rpg / 1 apg / 13 mpg 52 Emezie, John G/F (Sr 6'6" 220) 5 ppg / 2 rpg / 1 apg / 15 mpg 23 Duhart, Aaron G (Fr 6'0" 190) 3 ppg / 1 rpg / 2 apg / 12 mpg 2 Edwards, Cayne G (Sr 6'4" 215) 4 ppg / 3 rpg / 1 apg / 9 mpg 11 Blackwell, Tucker G (So 6'1" 178) 4 ppg / 1 rpg / 1 apg / 12 mpg
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Post by bison137 on Jan 21, 2019 18:01:10 GMT -5
The play of Jordan Fox has dropped off a lot this year. If he can consistently display his form of last year, Army could be very tough. He played well in wins over Boston and Colgate, which is a mean reason they won, before a bad shooting game against Navy.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 21, 2019 18:18:51 GMT -5
Army got off to a 4-2 start last year, too. Then a loss - at Holy Cross - started them careening, and they went just 2-10 the rest of the way
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 21, 2019 20:12:10 GMT -5
May history repeat itself his season - at least for Army.
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Jan 22, 2019 15:27:36 GMT -5
This is pretty remarkable -- through six PL games, we have played a total of 1,250 minutes. Six players (Floyd, Faw, Butler, Grandison, Butler, and Benzan) have payed 1,189 of these minutes. These six are playing roughly 95% of available minutes.
We rank dead last in the country in terms of minutes played by the bench.
How could this be potentially hurting us in games? Well, Pomeroy breaks the game down into four quarters. In Q4 and OT during the six PL games, we are being outscored by an average of 3.66 points.
Tomorrow will be interesting.
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 22, 2019 18:48:39 GMT -5
I've always hated the word "interesting" as it usually meant something bad.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 22, 2019 19:43:57 GMT -5
How about "telling?"
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Jan 22, 2019 22:18:25 GMT -5
I’ll be at Chrystl tomorrow. Hope to see us get back on the right track with a win — and maybe for some unsung hero to come off the bench and contribute.
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Post by possum on Jan 23, 2019 8:57:55 GMT -5
Obviously a huge game as we need to get back on track fast or this season will quickly be lost. Big key to game is Green getting untracked, as it's pretty obvious by the last two games that we dont win if he doesn't play well.
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Post by classof83 on Jan 23, 2019 10:17:11 GMT -5
Just to switch things up, I wonder if it make sense to start PB and bring MF off the bench.
Maybe Matt would be a little fresher against the competition after a few minutes of play and not get into as much foul trouble. PB hit two 3 pointers the last game - a positive sign
Does anyone have any insight when Connor might be back?
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 23, 2019 11:50:29 GMT -5
We need to cut back on the turnovers, particularly from our bigs. In OOC games JF & MF committed 30 turnovers or 2.3 per game. In PL play they've committed 27 or 4.5 per game. KenPom data show a significant correlation between HC turnover % and W vs L.
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