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Post by bison137 on Feb 23, 2017 10:13:29 GMT -5
- If Colgate and Loyola both win or both lose leaving them in a tie, I'm not really sure, but I'm thinking 4th based on the following rationale: Colgate swept Loyola and would win the tiebreaker to finish 6th and send Loyola to the play-in game, but the tiebreaking rules state "ties will be broken in rank order beginning with the highest seed", meaning even though we all know Colgate finishes ahead of Loyola from head to head, that piece of info can't be used to break a Navy/HC tie. Navy and HC would both be 3-1 against the tied for 6th position and they keep going down the ladder to American and Lafayette tied at 9th (which they will be if Loyola and Colgate both win or lose) and HC and Navy are both 3-1 against those teams. My interpretation of the rule says move on to the next tiebreaker which is RPI. As of this morning ESPN lists HC ahead of Navy and a HC win coupled with a Navy loss shouldn't change that so that leaves HC in 4th I believe you are correct. Ties are broken from the top, and HC will clearly have the better RPI. Terrible collapse by Navy, which may cost DeChellis COY.
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Post by lou on Feb 23, 2017 11:59:14 GMT -5
Terrible collapse by Navy, which may cost DeChellis COY. While up 25 vs Army, the CBSSN guys were considering the COY possibilities. At the time they decided on DeChellis. Looks like that may change
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 23, 2017 12:07:59 GMT -5
I was doing PR for Navy a half dozen games back when the Midshipmen were on a great run. I've suspended those duties. The collapse in the past three games has been total, with their shooting awful (58/127 on 2's= .457 and 14/64 on 3's = .219) and their shooting defense worse (50/84 on 2's = .595 and 26/54 on 3's= .481) . The loss to Army was astounding.
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Post by cmo on Feb 25, 2017 21:59:52 GMT -5
So we're at Navy Thursday, at Bucknell Sunday, and at the BU-Lehigh winner next Wednesday ?
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Post by hchoops on Feb 26, 2017 12:35:18 GMT -5
So we're at Navy Thursday, at Bucknell Sunday, and at the BU-Lehigh winner next Wednesday ? 1-only if Bucknell wins 2-only if Bu and Lehigh win
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Post by cmo on Feb 27, 2017 10:34:02 GMT -5
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Post by hchoops on Feb 27, 2017 10:39:04 GMT -5
1.59% to win the PLC where do i put my $$ ?
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 27, 2017 11:31:20 GMT -5
I see Bucknell as the likeliest winner but I would not bet the Bison at odds-on
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Post by HC92 on Feb 27, 2017 11:34:58 GMT -5
If we were playing 7 game series in each round, I don't see any way Bucknell wouldn't win. Luckily for everyone else, they just need to have one off night.
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Post by res on Feb 27, 2017 11:40:13 GMT -5
I see the Terriers are given an 11.66% chance of winning the championship. I was expecting to see 0.0%.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Feb 27, 2017 11:40:30 GMT -5
I see Bucknell as the likeliest winner but I would not bet the Bison at odds-on Fwiw, Bucknell is the only team in the conference with an offensive EFG >50%, and a defensive EFG <50%.
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Post by CHC8485 on Feb 27, 2017 12:00:39 GMT -5
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Post by bison137 on Feb 27, 2017 14:41:18 GMT -5
If we were playing 7 game series in each round, I don't see any way Bucknell wouldn't win. Luckily for everyone else, they just need to have one off night. One thing that could be an issue is that Foulland missed Satirday,s game with blurred vision after being raked across the eye on a dunk in the previous game, and Zach Thomas had to leave the game with an ankle injury. They aren't winning the tournament without those two.
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Post by HC92 on Feb 27, 2017 14:59:13 GMT -5
If we were playing 7 game series in each round, I don't see any way Bucknell wouldn't win. Luckily for everyone else, they just need to have one off night. One thing that could be an issue is that Foulland missed Satirday,s game with blurred vision after being raked across the eye on a dunk in the previous game, and Zach Thomas had to leave the game with an ankle injury. They aren't winning the tournament without those two. As much as I'd like to win, I hate to see kids get hurt, especially at this time of year. Hopefully, they'll get back in time to be able to participate in the tourney.
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Post by lou on Feb 27, 2017 16:16:45 GMT -5
Hopefully they can play.
How many times has Jehyve been helped off the court this year with his ankle injury? Each time the fix seems to be to replace the tape and then he's back as good as new...
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Post by cmo on Feb 27, 2017 16:23:30 GMT -5
One thing that could be an issue is that Foulland missed Satirday,s game with blurred vision after being raked across the eye on a dunk in the previous game, and Zach Thomas had to leave the game with an ankle injury. They aren't winning the tournament without those two. As much as I'd like to win, I hate to see kids get hurt, especially at this time of year. Hopefully, they'll get back in time to be able to participate in the tourney. Agreed. They earned the right to play in the NIT. Hate to see them miss that opportunity.
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alcovefan
Climbing Mt. St. James
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Posts: 54
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Post by alcovefan on Feb 27, 2017 16:59:51 GMT -5
I see the Terriers are given an 11.66% chance of winning the championship. I was expecting to see 0.0%. This is excellent. Three games in March!
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Post by hc6774 on Feb 27, 2017 17:01:11 GMT -5
Right now, if the bison are looking ahead I don't think there is anyone they would rather play than the purple
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Post by hchoops on Feb 27, 2017 18:17:46 GMT -5
Right now, if the bison are looking ahead I don't think there is anyone they would rather play than the purple We, and they, have to get there first.
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Post by rgs318 on Feb 27, 2017 18:19:11 GMT -5
Right now, if the bison are looking ahead I don't think there is anyone they would rather play than the purple Is that because they did so well against HC in last year's PL tourney?
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Post by cmo on Feb 28, 2017 8:51:34 GMT -5
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Post by hchoops on Feb 28, 2017 8:59:26 GMT -5
Very detailed and mostly accurate as far as HC is concerned, 2 discrepancies: 1-Eric Green's absence is of consequence 2-Zones are our nemesis
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 28, 2017 9:46:17 GMT -5
Very interesting read, indeed. I agree 100% with hchoops's comments above about HC. For this writer Fran O'Hanlon retains his reputation as a genius on offense-- despite Lafayette being #10 in offensive efficiency in PL play and #312 in NCAA D-1.
"Fran O’Hanlon, a genius offensive tactician who has never really cared much for defense (he’ll throw some junk zones at you to keep you off balance), will run a lot of his action with Klinewski at the rim, and Zalys up high to keep teams from doubling him. He’s also got a fantastic SR PG in Nick Lindner running his offense. "
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Post by hc6774 on Feb 28, 2017 9:47:18 GMT -5
HC v Navy - he states that Navy should win the boards because HC is very weak there... but is it really the weak v the weak? in head to head, the boards - 1st game HC +3, +4 OR's; 26 days later, 2nd game N +9, +1 OB's, but RC & JF played a total of only 19 mins vs 49 in 1st. I like our chances
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Post by ncaam on Feb 28, 2017 11:42:34 GMT -5
Bookies army -7....LU -7
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