We drummed UNH when we were terrible two years ago. I would be surprised if the Crossports reaction when we beat them again is what unhfan suggests. If we somehow lose, I also doubt if the reaction will be that the sky is falling. I do predict a few people will kill the OC because that happens after every loss with a select few posters.
In EVERY GAME last year, there was no game plan on the offensive side of the ball. The defense took close to 1000 snaps in 2018 which was only worse in 2003 when HC was 1-11 and there was no head coach.
So, yes there is substantial room for improvement (Chesney, Spead/Shred, etc).
Kudos to the time and effort put into recruiting and excited to see how things factor out this year.
I'm not necessarily sold on the OC either, but citing 1,000 snaps for the defense as proof of offensive incompetence misses some context.
Per last season's official stats, opponents ran 775 plays a game (to our 744). Those numbers lead to an average of 3 extra plays a game for our opponents. Even of you factor in penalties and punts, that's an extra 133 snaps for opponents vs 142 for us. That would result in making the total number of snaps 908 vs 886, or about 2 snaps a game difference. I would contend a difference of 2 snaps a game does not signal incompetence on it's own.
I'd be curious to see how snap counts have trended over the last 15 years or so. I'd wager snaps as a whole have increased as passing attacks became more prominent, I just don't have time to research it.
Who knows, but I wouldn't pencil in as a 80-90% certainty any win on the road this year.
This schedule (though I like it) has so many obstacles: 5 of the first 6 on road, toughest OOC since joining the PL etc is going to make going .500 or better an accomplishment in itself. It almost makes the UNH game a must win in many ways.
The flipside of course, is that it provides so much opportunity. How many people nationally will ask "Who's Holy Cross?" if we somehow knock off Navy or play Syracuse decently etc
The danger though, is that if things go sideways, this schedule has a 2 or 3 win season written all ovah it.
Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Aug 28, 2019 6:40:54 GMT -5
I'll go with 6/7, and a PL title because Colgate appears to be significantly weaker this year, Lehigh is in a transition year, Fordham is in the doldrums. Whichever school -- HC, Colgate, GU -- is able to sweep the head-to-heads between these three will be PL champion.