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Post by Ignutz on Jul 8, 2021 15:53:56 GMT -5
Hero Sports has HC's o/u win prediction at 7.5.
This would equate to, among other things, running the PL table and only winning one OOC game - if picking the under,
I think the over is a fairly easy bet. What say you?
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Post by longsuffering on Jul 8, 2021 18:12:18 GMT -5
Ovah
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Post by DFW HOYA on Jul 8, 2021 20:50:10 GMT -5
What about the other PL schools?
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Post by longsuffering on Jul 8, 2021 21:11:02 GMT -5
What about the other PL schools? Best to take the under on all of them. |
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jul 9, 2021 10:17:11 GMT -5
In my first run through the schedule I cam up with 7.3 wins based on the percentage chance for each game, with a low of 10% at Monmouth to 95% versus Merrimack at Fitton. When I review this again as we make our predictions closer to the season, the number will likely go higher. No doubt our 4 toughest games come OOC in the first 5 games of the season.
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Post by longsuffering on Jul 9, 2021 11:19:54 GMT -5
I'm hoping that HC FB playing AND practicing right through to the first round of the FCS playoffs in the Spring gives us an advantage we usually wouldn't have against UConn that compensates for their having played one game in August, or even exceeds that advantage they have. Hopefully the Spring season, playoff game and summer sessions gives us a coaching dividend like the Pats got (during the Brady era at least) when Bill Belichick had a bye week to prepare for an opponent.
The big question mark is just how explosive and effective Sluka will be when he has the advantage of several months more coaching but the disadvantage of being contained on film for other teams to prepare for.
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Post by Ignutz on Jul 9, 2021 11:43:07 GMT -5
What about the other PL schools? The only schools in their list are those that made the FCS playoffs in 2019 and Spring 2021. |
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Post by rgs318 on Jul 9, 2021 12:04:55 GMT -5
Massey has HC getting 7 wins and 4 losses. It is far too early to take any of this seriously. Just for laughs, here is the current Massey prediction for the HC season.
L at UConn (17-35)
W Merrimack (34-7)
L at Yale (24-28)
L at Monmouth (21-26)
W at Harvard (24-21)
W Georgetown (26-14)
W Colgate (neutral field) (24-17)
W at Lehigh (21-17)
W Lafayette (24-17)
L at Fordham (21-20) *Early prediction or not, this is a key game for the PL title.
W at Bucknell (21-18)
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Post by Chu Chu on Jul 9, 2021 12:14:47 GMT -5
Massey has HC getting 7 wins and 4 losses. It is far too early to take any of this seriously. Just for laughs, here is the current Massey prediction for the HC season. L at UConn (17-35) W Merrimack (34-7) L at Yale (24-28) L at Monmouth (21-26) W at Harvard (24-21) W Georgetown (26-14) W Colgate (neutral field) (24-17) W at Lehigh (21-17) W Lafayette (24-17) L at Fordham (21-20) *Early prediction or not, this is a key game for the PL title. W at Bucknell (21-18) This is a very plausible scenario. I just hope it is wrong! |
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Post by Ignutz on Jul 9, 2021 14:48:50 GMT -5
Massey has HC getting 7 wins and 4 losses. It is far too early to take any of this seriously. Just for laughs, here is the current Massey prediction for the HC season. L at UConn (17-35) W Merrimack (34-7) L at Yale (24-28) L at Monmouth (21-26) W at Harvard (24-21) W Georgetown (26-14) W Colgate (neutral field) (24-17) W at Lehigh (21-17) W Lafayette (24-17) L at Fordham (21-20) *Early prediction or not, this is a key game for the PL title. W at Bucknell (21-18) This is a very plausible scenario. I just hope it is wrong! Only two wins by more than a TD, and only one loss by more than a TD. My bet is that Chesney doesn't lose any of the close wins, but he finds a way to win at least one of the close losses. That equates to an 8-3 record.I'm going with 9-2, and feel like we're more likely to steal a W in East Hartford than in New Haven. You heard it here first. |
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Post by thecrossisback on Jul 9, 2021 14:52:11 GMT -5
Home against Lafayette has given HC trouble lately. Hope that gets corrected this year.
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Post by bison137 on Jul 9, 2021 15:11:01 GMT -5
Massey has HC getting 7 wins and 4 losses. It is far too early to take any of this seriously. Just for laughs, here is the current Massey prediction for the HC season. L at UConn (17-35) W Merrimack (34-7) L at Yale (24-28) L at Monmouth (21-26) W at Harvard (24-21) W Georgetown (26-14) W Colgate (neutral field) (24-17) W at Lehigh (21-17) W Lafayette (24-17) L at Fordham (21-20) *Early prediction or not, this is a key game for the PL title. W at Bucknell (21-18) Looking at the probabilities put forth by Massey, he has HC getting 6.33 wins. I'd bet the over against that prediction. |
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jul 9, 2021 15:14:27 GMT -5
Home against Lafayette has given HC trouble lately. Hope that gets corrected this year. Maybe we can ask to have the game moved to PA?? 2013= Loss 23-42 @ Fitton
2014 =Win 24-14 @ Laf
2015= Win 42-0 @ Fitton
2016= Win 38-28 @ Laf
2017= Loss 7-10 @ Fitton
2018 = Win 40-14 @ Laf
2019= Loss 20-23 @ Fitton
2020- no game |
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Post by longsuffering on Jul 9, 2021 16:01:00 GMT -5
Massey has HC getting 7 wins and 4 losses. It is far too early to take any of this seriously. Just for laughs, here is the current Massey prediction for the HC season. L at UConn (17-35) W Merrimack (34-7) L at Yale (24-28) L at Monmouth (21-26) W at Harvard (24-21) W Georgetown (26-14) W Colgate (neutral field) (24-17) W at Lehigh (21-17) W Lafayette (24-17) L at Fordham (21-20) *Early prediction or not, this is a key game for the PL title. W at Bucknell (21-18) Massey likes his home teams. HC fans may whittle away at that advantage in East Hartford and New Haven. I'm surprised he has Monmouth so close at Monmouth and gives UConn credit for a blowout win. Plus I think he misunderstands Merrimack and how small a jump it has been from the NE-10 to join several of their former league mates in FCS. I like to give Massey the persona of a sports lover huddling over old box scores, but for all I know "he" is an algorithm. |
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Post by thecrossisback on Jul 9, 2021 17:57:01 GMT -5
I hope HC wins the Ram Crusader Cup and takes the PL trophy home that week as well. Football Championship games in Lewisburg are lame.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Jul 9, 2021 18:17:03 GMT -5
Home against Lafayette has given HC trouble lately. Hope that gets corrected this year. This is an outcome that should get corrected very bigly. |
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Jul 9, 2021 18:20:00 GMT -5
I hope HC wins the Ram Crusader Cup and takes the PL trophy home that week as well. Football Championship games in Lewisburg are lame. Fordham is going to be... a) very good b) extremely hungry to beat the back-to-back defending champs, who they blew double digit leads against each of the last 2 seasons. Fordham always gets a great alumni turnout when Holy Cross visits The Bronx. A sellout is very plausible if weather cooperates. I'm not expecting Bucknell to be a contender again. Every 5-6 years they seem to have somewhat of a breakout season, and then they just go back to being Bucknell. |
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Jul 9, 2021 18:26:22 GMT -5
In my first run through the schedule I cam up with 7.3 wins based on the percentage chance for each game, with a low of 10% at Monmouth to 95% versus Merrimack at Fitton. When I review this again as we make our predictions closer to the season, the number will likely go higher. No doubt our 4 toughest games come OOC in the first 5 games of the season. Our actual odds of beating Monmouth are definitely greater than 10% -- I'd say more like 30-40%. And Merrimack is not Marist -- their 2019 results showed they are not a joke DI program (they went 0-3 in 2020, a season to put limited stock in). Merrimack lost to NEC champ Central Connecticut by a FG in 2019 and also played Lehigh to within a score. I'd put that game more at 80-85% for HC. |
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Post by bfoley82 on Jul 13, 2021 15:25:51 GMT -5
In my first run through the schedule I cam up with 7.3 wins based on the percentage chance for each game, with a low of 10% at Monmouth to 95% versus Merrimack at Fitton. When I review this again as we make our predictions closer to the season, the number will likely go higher. No doubt our 4 toughest games come OOC in the first 5 games of the season. Our actual odds of beating Monmouth are definitely greater than 10% -- I'd say more like 30-40%. And Merrimack is not Marist -- their 2019 results showed they are not a joke DI program (they went 0-3 in 2020, a season to put limited stock in). Merrimack lost to NEC champ Central Connecticut by a FG in 2019 and also played Lehigh to within a score. I'd put that game more at 80-85% for HC. I shot that Merrimack and CCSU game as I thought the Merrimack offense had some athletes on the field. The QB moved around well and was able to find some open receivers. It helps that Merrimack is coached by a former NFL player so we will see what he has brought in for recruits lately. |
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