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Post by sader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 18:24:27 GMT -5
The first game for the Patriot League in-conference season is scheduled for New Year's Day against Navy.
One can debate whether the D3 wins really mean anything but the facts are that these were our only two OOC wins and the Crusaders were not able to win any games against D1 teams.
So, before the PL season commences, here's your chance to predict how many wins Brett's troops will get.
There are 18 regular season games scheduled along with up to 4 tournament games, so potentially 22 games might be played.
All of this is dependent on COVID and Omicron cooperating, of course.
Have at it!
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Post by Crosser on Dec 22, 2021 18:27:44 GMT -5
Are we granted collective amnesia about our predictions we made for PL wins in the pre-season poll?
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Post by timholycross on Dec 22, 2021 18:39:40 GMT -5
I'd redo the boxes, nearly all of the selections are going to be 0-4.
0-1 2-3 4-5 6-9 10-14 15-19
I'd vote for 4 or 5 and be considered by most an extreme optimist.
18-22
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 19:33:16 GMT -5
Short answer: YES
Longer answer: We have now had a body of evidence which we did not have prior to the start of the season - other than the prior 2 (1.5, if you prefer) seasons. I wouldn't be surprised if after the first round of PL games if someone else doesn't run another poll on the second half of the season after seeing how the Crusaders did in the first go-round.
This is a chance to amend any prior predictions or reinforce what you believe will happen.
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Post by A Clock Tower Purple on Dec 22, 2021 19:41:11 GMT -5
3 at most.
Whoever voted 18-22 is on glue.
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 19:48:30 GMT -5
Maybe you mean "unglued."
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Post by crusader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 19:58:45 GMT -5
Maybe you mean "unglued." LOL. Love it.
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Post by thecrossisback on Dec 22, 2021 20:04:53 GMT -5
3 at most. Whoever voted 18-22 is on glue. It was me lol What is the point of following the team only expecting 3 wins. Go Cross Go! I am rooting for the players. If Perry Sr. can go to the game at Harvard. No excuse for other people to pass on the game.
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Post by crusader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 20:05:02 GMT -5
I voted for 4 wins. Before the season I thought the team might go 9-9 in the PL.
Not any more. I have watched our OOC games and even with a weak league we will struggle to get 4 wins.
The computer numbers don't lie. Right now we are one of the 10 worst teams in all Div I.
Here's hoping I am proven to be totally clueless. Nothing would make me happier.
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 20:44:51 GMT -5
Not to influence any voters but since there has been some debate/issues about the D3 games (and possibly skewed some stats/data), I'll share with you some stats for only the 10 D1 games in case this makes a difference for anyone:
(parenthesis for full 12 games)
Category/D1 Only/All 12 games FGs: 39.2% (42.2%) 3FGs: 32.7% (35.9%) FTs: 69.5% (68.6%) OFF Rebs: 111 (139) DEF Rebs: 213 (279) Tot Rebs: 324 418) Ast/TO: .51 [72 assists to 142 turnovers] Full 12 games: .63 (110 assists to 175 turnovers) Blocks: 36 (46) Steals: 62 (85) Avg Points: 59.7 (65.8)
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 22, 2021 21:08:14 GMT -5
You are bringing up an important point. The number of fans that will come out and support the team (and possibly support the team financially) are very few if their expectation is that the team can't win. Add to that the Covid restrictions and we're going to start wishing for the good old days of Carmody crowds (an oxymoron) at the Hart. Can we assume that you're one of the diehards and you've been personally attending all the home games and many away games?
I will be honest. I've been to all home games, no away games. As a season ticket holder, I am really doubting that I will go to many or any remaining home games. Right now, I see little reason for optimism. I was disgusted at the Siena game but the Harvard game was even worse. Harvard was a team that Carmody, Brown, Kearney could have beaten. The team really looks like they are regressing, rather than improving, as they gain experience. Wish that wasn't how I feel, but that's my honest opinion.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 22, 2021 21:09:39 GMT -5
As a player you gota believe you can win every league game. As a fan looking how this team plays & is coached 5 wins at best. Hope I'm wrong.
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 23, 2021 7:32:52 GMT -5
Interesting but not surprising that so far 94% feel that we'll win 50% or less ("fewer police"?) games since there will be at least 18 games if none are cancelled due to the pandemic. Maybe I should have run a poll and asked "how many years before we see Holy Cross win at least half of their games?"
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Post by alum on Dec 23, 2021 8:36:25 GMT -5
I am hoping for wild improvement and for that reason think our guys will go 4-14 🥵
My best hope for optimism is a win in the PL tournament play-in game.
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Post by trimster on Dec 23, 2021 8:41:32 GMT -5
I am hoping for wild improvement and for that reason think our guys will go 4-14 🥵 My best hope for optimism is a win in the PL tournament play-in game. Sadly, I think that is about how things will play out especially if Johnson and Gates remain subpar physically. Hopefully some rest does their injuries good.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Dec 23, 2021 9:35:56 GMT -5
Ken Pomeroy has HC going 4-14 in PL play--this is done by adding up the % chances for each of the 18 games, not by making a specific W-L call on each of the games. He has us favored to win in no games, but we are 40% to 47% in our homes games versus Laf, AU, Bucknell, Lehigh.
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Post by hc87 on Dec 23, 2021 9:44:29 GMT -5
The league is so poor overall, I have us just ekeing into the 5-9 range...
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Post by Tom on Dec 23, 2021 9:46:59 GMT -5
The league is so poor overall, I have us just ekeing into the 5-9 range... This might require a Festivus Miracle
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Post by rgs318 on Dec 23, 2021 10:42:15 GMT -5
I went for the 5-9 category.
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Post by longsuffering on Dec 23, 2021 12:59:31 GMT -5
3 at most. Whoever voted 18-22 is on glue. It was me lol What is the point of following the team only expecting 3 wins. Go Cross Go! I am rooting for the players. If Perry Sr. can go to the game at Harvard. No excuse for other people to pass on the game.  Ron Perry Sr. probably wanted to visit a gym he played in.😂 I voted 5-9 using your reasoning. I'm not going to spend a season not expecting improvement.
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Post by Tom on Dec 23, 2021 13:04:50 GMT -5
Mr Perry lives in greater Boston
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Post by longsuffering on Dec 23, 2021 13:07:52 GMT -5
The first game for the Patriot League in-conference season is scheduled for New Year's Day against Navy. One can debate whether the D3 wins really mean anything but the facts are that these were our only two OOC wins and the Crusaders were not able to win any games against D1 teams. So, before the PL season commences, here's your chance to predict how many wins Brett's troops will get. There are 18 regular season games scheduled along with up to 4 tournament games, so potentially 22 games might be played. All of this is dependent on COVID and Omicron cooperating, of course. Have at it! . He's Blossom's guy, but Kit owns the budget now. I wonder how closely this decision effects the operating budget for the dept. or is a coaching change mid contract totally off budget from another pile of money at Holy Cross and doesn't effect any other aspect of Athletics by a penny? Those details are murky but interesting. You generally don't read about corresponding budget cuts elsewhere when a coach gets whacked at other schools.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Dec 24, 2021 14:05:29 GMT -5
The league is so poor overall, I have us just ekeing into the 5-9 range... You could probably coach this team to 4 wins in the PL. Nelson idk. I don't think well go winless in league play. Im saying 2 wins, maybe 3.
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Post by sader1970 on Dec 26, 2021 11:28:44 GMT -5
I'm going to lock the poll on 12/31/2021, in 5 days, before our first league game on New Year's Day.
If you're going to vote, speak now or forever hold your peace. As it is, not a lot of optimism among the Crusader faithful.
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Post by efg72 on Dec 26, 2021 12:11:01 GMT -5
I will go with 3-15 Happy to steal a few more and watch the team improve
If the league is so bad, as some suggest and we find a way to get 6-8 wins, are we truly getting better?
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