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Post by sader1970 on Mar 1, 2022 11:53:59 GMT -5
We are starting to wander from the initial topic but if anyone is not familiar with the Warthog, I love not only my Syracuse connection with this plane but it has many Long Island connections including Republic (was in Farmingdale) and Grumman (Bethpage) where I worked one summer, my brother 2 summers and my father retired from there. They have tried to kill this plane off multiple times without success because it is so good at what it was designed to do - tank buster: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairchild_Republic_A-10_Thunderbolt_III've seen this plane up close at air shows in Syracuse and while KY's post is accurate, the cannon may not be technically a gattling gun, it both looks like one and operates like one with revolving barrels. My hope is whatever method they use that the Ukrainians can destroy that miles long Russian convoy which multiple U.S. generals are just appalled at the incompetence of having them bumper to bumper traveling slowly down a road.
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Post by mm67 on Mar 1, 2022 12:06:51 GMT -5
With Russia cut off from all funds outside its border wouldn't the next step cut off energy purchases from Russia's energy companies? More expensive petrol and natural gas is a small price to pay.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Mar 1, 2022 12:15:57 GMT -5
I believe the USA imported about 234,000,000 barrels of oil and petroleum products from Russia in CY 2021. If we continue to do that, and the current price of $105 per barrel holds steady, that would generate $24,570,000,000 of revenue for Russia in one year--non insubstantial in my point of view
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Post by efg72 on Mar 1, 2022 12:19:56 GMT -5
Reports on CNBC suggested the reserve supply can satisfy about one month of usage in the US. The US and Europe are purchasing enough oil from Russia and if I recall correctly we are getting about 18% of our total oil from Russia, Germany, and Europe significantly more.
If we open up Federal lands and Keystone and at the same time layout a transition to alternative forms of energy over the next twenty years we can make this work for us and our partners, reduce the uncertainty of supply, and reduce inflation here in the U.S.
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 1, 2022 12:23:20 GMT -5
Turn around the thinking and you get the other storyline, Putin "weaponizing" energy against the West by turning off the spigot. When you shiver in German does it sound the same as in English?
I have seen articles from both points of view with those fearful of being cut off having a strong case, too.
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Post by efg72 on Mar 1, 2022 12:39:34 GMT -5
We used to be able to supply Europe and fuel was cheap- but then again we were once energy independent vs our current position,
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 1, 2022 13:38:54 GMT -5
In the first 11 months of 2021, U.S. imports of Russian crude oil averaged 208,000 barrels a day. This was up from 76,000 barrels a day in 2020. Oil imports from Russia represented three percent of all U.S. imports of crude oil in 2021`, up from one percent in 2020. For the week ending February 18, 2022, U.S. exports of crude oil averaged 2.686 million barrels per day. ycharts.com/indicators/us_crude_oil_exports_wieThe U.S. is simply not a big consumer of Russian crude oil. In 2021, the U.S., consumed nearly 20 million barrels of oil and petroleum products daily. Imports of Russian crude oil and refined petroleum products averaged about 450,000 barrels per day, or about two percent of U.S. daily consumption. If the SPR was used exclusively to replace Russian crude oil imports, there is nearly an eight year supply.
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Post by efg72 on Mar 1, 2022 14:18:03 GMT -5
the difference between numbers might be attributed to supplying the strategic reserve to our European partners to replace what they purchase from Russia If that isn't the answer, I probably need to watch a different business news station
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Mar 1, 2022 14:35:14 GMT -5
In the first 11 months of 2021, U.S. imports of Russian crude oil averaged 208,000 barrels a day. This was up from 76,000 barrels a day in 2020. Oil imports from Russia represented three percent of all U.S. imports of crude oil in 2021`, up from one percent in 2020. For the week ending February 18, 2022, U.S. exports of crude oil averaged 2.686 million barrels per day. ycharts.com/indicators/us_crude_oil_exports_wieThe U.S. is simply not a big consumer of Russian crude oil. In 2021, the U.S., consumed nearly 20 million barrels of oil and petroleum products daily. Imports of Russian crude oil and refined petroleum products averaged about 450,000 barrels per day, or about two percent of U.S. daily consumption.If the SPR was used exclusively to replace Russian crude oil imports, there is nearly an eight year supply. We've got a different source or different calculators. The site below has the USA importing 232MM barrels from Russia Jan to Nov CY 2021. which works out to 695,000 barrels per day www.statista.com/statistics/1094286/us-imports-of-russian-oil-and-petroleum-productsIt seems like every subject up for discussion presents a bewildering array of sources of "facts" on the internet, none of which agree with another source.
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 1, 2022 15:16:04 GMT -5
In the first 11 months of 2021, U.S. imports of Russian crude oil averaged 208,000 barrels a day. This was up from 76,000 barrels a day in 2020. Oil imports from Russia represented three percent of all U.S. imports of crude oil in 2021`, up from one percent in 2020. For the week ending February 18, 2022, U.S. exports of crude oil averaged 2.686 million barrels per day. ycharts.com/indicators/us_crude_oil_exports_wieThe U.S. is simply not a big consumer of Russian crude oil. In 2021, the U.S., consumed nearly 20 million barrels of oil and petroleum products daily. Imports of Russian crude oil and refined petroleum products averaged about 450,000 barrels per day, or about two percent of U.S. daily consumption.If the SPR was used exclusively to replace Russian crude oil imports, there is nearly an eight year supply. We've got a different source or different calculators. The site below has the USA importing 232MM barrels from Russia Jan to Nov CY 2021. which works out to 695,000 barrels per day www.statista.com/statistics/1094286/us-imports-of-russian-oil-and-petroleum-productsIt seems like every subject up for discussion presents a bewildering array of sources of "facts" on the internet, none of which agree with another source. In December 2021, the U.S. imported a daily average of 405,000 barrels of crude oil and all petroleum products from Russia. This is significantly less than the daily average in previous months. However, the 405,000 barrels includes crude oil and 31 separate categories of refined petroleum products. An average of 90,000 barrels of Russian crude oil were imported daily during December 2021. Total average, daily imports of crude oil and refined products from all countries in December 2021 were 8,556,000 barrels Russia'/s share was 4.7 percent. www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_ep00_im0_mbblpd_m.htm__________________________ On the stalled convoy: www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-move-kyiv-stalled-now-may-be-rethinking-approach-us-official-2022-03-01/It would seem that the convoy reflects a logistics fiasco in the making. Tanks running out of fuel on a highway or a city square become sitting ducks.
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 1, 2022 15:28:25 GMT -5
Could the Convoy be slowed by a Covid outbreak amongst the conscripts huddled in the troop carrier trucks and tanks?
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 2, 2022 7:41:58 GMT -5
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Post by hc6774 on Mar 2, 2022 9:06:19 GMT -5
I attended a session at NROTC yesterday. The topic was 'cognitive warfare'l the presenter was a retired professor at the Naval War College, who continues to consult with NATO on this subject. She used extensive examples of Russia's & China's use of this in the '6th domain, the human domain'. It was heartening to see the interest & curiosity of the young mids on this topic.
After the presentation the unit CO, a 50 yr old Navy captain, addressed the battalion about the anxiety he is perceiving among them. that they will be called up for this fight. He said don't worry 'my generation has this one... you have the next one'
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 2, 2022 10:54:40 GMT -5
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 2, 2022 22:56:43 GMT -5
Professor Howard Stoffer, an expert on Russian Oligarchs and the second University of New Haven Professor I have seen on CNN during the Ukraine crisis is on TV now. Why can't HC get experts like that?
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 2, 2022 22:59:41 GMT -5
Does Ms Krushcheva bang her shoe on the table when she wants service?😊
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Post by Crucis#1 on Mar 2, 2022 23:23:53 GMT -5
Professor Howard Stoffer, an expert on Russian Oligarchs and the second University of New Haven Professor I have seen on CNN during the Ukraine crisis is on TV now. Why can't HC get experts like that? History Professor Specializing in Kremlin Media Strategy Is Sought-After Expert on U.S.-Russian Affairs Holy Cross has a well known expert on Russia that has appeared multiple times on CNN. She was wearing Purple for the interview. And as previously noted on Crossports crossports.freeforums.net/thread/2835/prof-cynthia-hooper-on-cnn
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 3, 2022 2:40:47 GMT -5
Professor Howard Stoffer, an expert on Russian Oligarchs and the second University of New Haven Professor I have seen on CNN during the Ukraine crisis is on TV now. Why can't HC get experts like that? History Professor Specializing in Kremlin Media Strategy Is Sought-After Expert on U.S.-Russian Affairs Holy Cross has a well known expert on Russia that has appeared multiple times on CNN. She was wearing Purple for the interview. And as previously noted on Crossports crossports.freeforums.net/thread/2835/prof-cynthia-hooper-on-cnnI stand corrected. Good interview. Putin waited too long to invade Ukraine. He had a four year window with a sympathetic U.S. President. He must be kicking himself.
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Post by hcpride on Mar 3, 2022 6:28:04 GMT -5
Like his successful 2014 Ukraine invasion, Putin is now moving gradually but in this case first battering military/gov’t and urban center targets with missiles/rockets and long range artillery. Then and only then advancing on heavily weakened objectives. As he did in Chechnya. Limits his exposure regarding planes, copters, tanks, troop carriers, and personnel. In this 2022 attack he’s doing it on multiple simultaneous fronts. Compounding the challenges facing the defender.
Difficult to see how Ukraine can gain the initiative (and go from defense to offense) in the current invasion given the geopolitical realities. Russia’s 2014 and 2022 tactics pre-suppose air supremacy/dominance.
(Ukraine’s use of armed drones to purposefully locate and destroy rocket launchers indicates they recognize and prioritize the most immediate threat. And I’m sure they are getting great support from ‘friends’ with satellites and over-the-border aerial surveillance capabilities in this effort.)
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 3, 2022 7:41:23 GMT -5
Ukraine is not going on the offense. The entire strategy is defensive. The Russian army isn't large to capture and control the entire country , or even half of it. A simple tried of options. Low risk ---> High reward High risk ---.> High reward High risk ---> Low reward Putin thought he had option 1, but has wound up with option 3. Operation Market Garden in 1944 is a very good example of High Risk ---> High reward, because if the operation was successful, the war in Europe could have ended in 1944, rather than in 1945. ^^^The scene in the movie Bridge Too Far where General Horrocks (Edward Fox) instructs Col. Vanderleur, the commander of the Irish Guards (Michael Caine) on the need for speed. From the movie dialogue, As it is, the West is already discussing how to provide Putin with an off-ramp. Even with an off-ramp, Russia has already experienced a decade's worth of economic damage. After Russia defaulted on its debt in 1998, it took the West, working with Russia, nearly a decade to get the economy back on track.
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Post by Chu Chu on Mar 3, 2022 12:07:47 GMT -5
Pak Phreek--- with your experience in Ukraine, perhaps you can settle something for us. Is the capital city properly pronounced as "Key-Ev" as it was for decades or "Keev" as we now hear from some reporters.? Kyiv (Keev) is the Ukrainian language word for the capital city of Ukraine. Kiev (Kee-ev) is the Russian language word for the capital city. There were always some Russian speakers in Ukraine, but when Stalin worked to pacify and "Russify" Ukraine, he forbade use of the Ukrainian language, and instituted the great famine genocide (the Holodomor) while moving hordes of Russian speakers into Ukraine and it was at this time that Russian terms were universally and officially applied to place names. President Zelensky is a native Russian language speaker, but he has led the movement to use the Ukrainian language for place names and government business as a way of undoing this violent legacy. One little quibble I would like to mention. The phrase "The Ukraine" heralds back to the time when Ukraine was viewed by Russia as a province and then after the revolution, subject to inclusion in the Soviet Union. The correct term is simply Ukraine. We do not speak of "The Germany" or "The Britain" and we should do so anymore when referring to the sovereign country of Ukraine.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Mar 3, 2022 12:15:33 GMT -5
Thanks, Chu Chu--very helpful, indeed.
I share your frustration with people, including politicians and reporters and anchors, saying "The Ukraine"
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 3, 2022 12:44:25 GMT -5
Thanks, Chu Chu--very helpful, indeed. I share your frustration with people, including politicians and reporters and anchors, saying "The Ukraine" It's as annoying as "The Ohio State University."
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Post by rgs318 on Mar 3, 2022 14:38:11 GMT -5
Close, but I find "THE Ohio State University" get's the edge as more annoying!
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Post by longsuffering on Mar 3, 2022 18:32:04 GMT -5
Ukraine is not going on the offense. The entire strategy is defensive. The Russian army isn't large to capture and control the entire country , or even half of it. A simple tried of options. Low risk ---> High reward High risk ---.> High reward High risk ---> Low reward Putin thought he had option 1, but has wound up with option 3. Operation Market Garden in 1944 is a very good example of High Risk ---> High reward, because if the operation was successful, the war in Europe could have ended in 1944, rather than in 1945. ^^^The scene in the movie Bridge Too Far where General Horrocks (Edward Fox) instructs Col. Vanderleur, the commander of the Irish Guards (Michael Caine) on the need for speed. From the movie dialogue, As it is, the West is already discussing how to provide Putin with an off-ramp. Even with an off-ramp, Russia has already experienced a decade's worth of economic damage. After Russia defaulted on its debt in 1998, it took the West, working with Russia, nearly a decade to get the economy back on track. Didn't Ireland sit out WW2?
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