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Post by hchoops on Nov 1, 2022 21:38:42 GMT -5
A Buffalo loss is definitely not good for us
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Post by HC92 on Nov 1, 2022 21:50:21 GMT -5
Buffalo going down. 45-21 with 8 min left.
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Post by efg72 on Nov 2, 2022 6:38:44 GMT -5
STAN BECTON | NCAA.COM | NOVEMBER 1, 2022
5 key games to watch heading into FCS football’s final month
JOE FLACCO FCS HIGHLIGHTS: SUPER BOWL MVP'S FINAL GAMES WITH DELAWARE SHARE
We've made it through the spookiest month of the year. After a wild October, three weeks remain in the FCS regular season and the playoffs are rapidly approaching.
Here are five key games to watch heading into FCS football's final month.
Week 10 | Sacramento State at Weber State | 3 p.m. ET | Saturday, Nov. 5
The Big Sky title race is jam-packed. Two teams are undefeated in conference play and two teams have one conference loss. Two from that group meet to open November as Sacramento State heads to Weber State in Week 10.
The game will be both teams' third straight game against a ranked conference opponent. More than just a conference title will be on the line in this game too; playoff seeding and positioning will likely take into account this game and how a team wins or loses.
đź”®: Predicting the 2022 FCS playoff field less than one month from selections
Week 10 | New Hampshire at Richmond | 3:30 p.m. ET | Saturday, Nov. 5
If you thought the race for the Big Sky was close, the race for the CAA title blows it out of the water. New Hampshire is the only undefeated CAA team in conference play, with seven CAA teams having two or fewer conference losses. Richmond has just one conference loss, and a win over New Hampshire gives the Spiders the tiebreaker should it be needed down the line.
Picking who wins the CAA entering November is like drawing straws out of a hat, but this Week 10 matchup will provide clarification on the conference race.
đź‘€: The best players at every position in FCS football at the midseason mark
Week 11 | Samford at Chattanooga | 1:30 p.m. ET | Saturday, Nov. 12
Samford enters November undefeated in SoCon play. Meanwhile, a trio of teams sits below the Bulldogs in the standings with one conference loss. One of those teams is Chattanooga. By Week 11, this game could have auto-bid clinching implications. Even if the auto-bid isn't on the line just yet when Samford and Chattanooga meet, this game undoubtedly impacts the at-large status for the loser. A lot will be on the line in this SoCon battle.
MOVEMENT: How the ASUN-WAC bid works and more from FCS conference realignment
Week 12 | Montana at Montana State | 2 p.m. ET | Saturday, Nov. 19
One of the biggest rivalries in FCS football returns in Week 12 when Montana battles Montana State in the Brawl of the Wild. Montana State has won four of the last five matchups, but Montana took home The Great Divide Trophy last year. In 2022, the intense rivalry could mean more than usual.
If Montana wins out until this game, but loses the Brawl, missing the playoffs is a likely possibility. The Grizzlies will be on the bubble entering FCS selections for sure. If Montana State wins out and wins the Brawl, it could be looking at a potential No. 1 overall seed — and at the very least a No. 2 seed — in the playoffs, granting the Bobcats home-field advantage throughout the postseason.
The Brawl of the Wild with high stakes? That's must-watch TV.
BRAWL: Montana-Montana State football: Memorable moments, all-time history of the Brawl of the Wild
Week 12 | Penn at Princeton | 1 p.m. ET | Saturday, Nov. 19
While this Ivy League showdown has lost some of its luster after the Quakers suffered its first loss during the final week of October, Penn vs. Princeton still has the potential to be for the Ivy League title.
If this game is for all the marbles, it deserves national attention. The Ivy League champion doesn't play in the FCS playoffs, making Week 12 the last time we'll see either of these teams play as currently constructed. If these two schools, less than an hour drive apart, are competing for a title during the final week of the regular season, we'll be in for a treat.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 2, 2022 6:58:50 GMT -5
A Buffalo loss is definitely not good for us Barring a complete collapse, Buffalo is still going bowling. And it still might end up being the best FBS win by an FCS team this year.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 2, 2022 7:01:17 GMT -5
If Ohio wins, that's good for Fordham, and even somewhat for us. Definitely good for Fordham. And I don't necessarily think it's bad for us. Fordham's losses could end up being 53-52 heartbreakers on the road to a Top 8 FCS and to a G5 division champ. If they win out, they should be in the playoff field.
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Post by HC92 on Nov 2, 2022 7:12:01 GMT -5
Sam Herder had Fordham as the second to last team in after this weekend’s game. I think they get in assuming they can win out which they should unless Lafayette figures out a way to slow them down which I doubt.
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Nov 2, 2022 7:57:02 GMT -5
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Post by rgs318 on Nov 2, 2022 8:02:41 GMT -5
I had exactly the same concern about an unexpected game by Lehigh. TG does have the ability to find an opponent's weaknesses. I hope to see HC Put this one away early and to see our reserves get some play. I have heard that we do have some real talent in this freshman class that, for the most part, we have yet to see.
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Post by gks on Nov 2, 2022 8:02:49 GMT -5
Sam Herder had Fordham as the second to last team in after this weekend’s game. I think they get in assuming they can win out which they should unless Lafayette figures out a way to slow them down which I doubt. I would not be shocked if Fordham is left out of the playoffs. A lot of predictions from people who know more than me have them as the first four out. My guess would be that their seen as a offensive pinball machine. They'd rather take a 3 or 4 loss CAA team than Fordham. Just my two cents.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 2, 2022 8:25:58 GMT -5
Sam Herder had Fordham as the second to last team in after this weekend’s game. I think they get in assuming they can win out which they should unless Lafayette figures out a way to slow them down which I doubt. I would not be shocked if Fordham is left out of the playoffs. A lot of predictions from people who know more than me have them as the first four out. My guess would be that their seen as a offensive pinball machine. They'd rather take a 3 or 4 loss CAA team than Fordham. Just my two cents.3 loss maybe. But a 7-4 team out of the CAA won't get in over 9-2 Fordham this year.
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Post by cruskater31 on Nov 2, 2022 9:24:19 GMT -5
If Montana wins out until this game, but loses the Brawl, missing the playoffs is a likely possibility. The Grizzlies will be on the bubble entering FCS selections for sure. If Montana State wins out and wins the Brawl, it could be looking at a potential No. 1 overall seed — and at the very least a No. 2 seed — in the playoffs, granting the Bobcats home-field advantage throughout the postseason. This is a great post and gives us an insight into the key matchups down the road which could have an impact on HC's seeding. The only part of Becton's article I am not so sure on is what happens if SDSU, Mont St, and Sac State all win out (which is a distinct possibility). Both MSU and SDSU are undefeated in the FCS. Not sure that MSU would be at least a 2 seed. I can see SDSU having the 2 in the aforementioned scenario. Perhaps if Sac State loses, we see SDSU, MSU, and then Sac State as the 3. In any event, it would be difficult for HC to get higher than a 4.
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Post by HC92 on Nov 2, 2022 9:40:47 GMT -5
Fordham would have a puncher’s chance to beat anyone in the field of 24. Maybe the big dogs wouldn’t want them in given that those schools would easily beat an 8-3 or 7-4 CAA team but might get into a 63-62 game with the Rams.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 2, 2022 9:54:35 GMT -5
Fordham would have a puncher’s chance to beat anyone in the field of 24. Maybe the big dogs wouldn’t want them in given that those schools would easily beat an 8-3 or 7-4 CAA team but might get into a 63-62 game with the Rams. Fordham IMO clearly has the best offense in all of FCS, even when you control for the fact that they play a weak PL schedule. I can't see any FCS team putting up more than 45 points against our defense in regulation, whether it be in Worcester, Wiliamsburg, Fargo or Bozeman. Edit: Incarnate Word may be just as good offensively. Forgot about them.
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Post by purplehaze on Nov 2, 2022 10:50:26 GMT -5
As the calendar turns to late November/early December the running game becomes increasingly important - the Rams do have 2 very good rb's but DeMorat will not be throwing for 400 yards in bad weather
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Post by hchoops on Nov 2, 2022 10:55:16 GMT -5
HC is fortunate that Fordham’s OC was so pass oriented. We struggled vs their run game
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Nov 2, 2022 11:13:15 GMT -5
HC is fortunate that Fordham’s OC was so pass oriented. We struggled vs their run game They actually ran more than they passed (39 to 38). It was peculiar the series they had in which they had three straight plays of passing over the top. Didn't understand that as they largely had been gashing us on the ground.
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 2, 2022 11:15:56 GMT -5
If Fordham is tied on the merits with a traditional FCS power in the mind of a selection committee voter doesn't he or she go with the school that hasn't been to the playoffs in a while?
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Post by hchoops on Nov 2, 2022 11:16:14 GMT -5
I think their pass-run ratio was previously far more favoring the pass
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Nov 2, 2022 11:21:15 GMT -5
I think their pass-run ratio was previously far more favoring the pass They run 48% of the time, so pretty balanced.
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Post by hchoops on Nov 2, 2022 11:49:10 GMT -5
In our game Fordham’s average per rush was 6.2. Average per attempted pass was 6.7 on DeMorat’s 19-38
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 2, 2022 12:21:36 GMT -5
6.2 yards and a cloud of dust. You don't get that against HC unless your QB has a cannon and the defense has to play back to protect against it. If DeMorat had been a little more accurate the Fordham run/pass balance might have prevailed.
It sounds like Fordham has been generally effective at leveraging Demorat's arm to assist their running game and artfully combining the two to be a few points away from 8-0.
Demorat vs HC game six would be a promoter's dream.
Or would a quality fresh opponent that travels well be more interesting?
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 2, 2022 12:44:59 GMT -5
6.2 yards and a cloud of dust. You don't get that against HC unless your QB has a cannon and the defense has to play back to protect against it. If DeMorat had been a little more accurate the Fordham run/pass balance might have prevailed. It sounds like Fordham has been generally effective at leveraging Demorat's arm to assist their running game and artfully combining the two to be a few points away from 8-0. Demorat vs HC game six would be a promoter's dream.
Or would a quality fresh opponent that travels well be more interesting?I think just about anyone from Fordham would want DeMorat v. HC Game 6. Just about anyone from HC would want a fresh opponent, regardless of whether or not they travel well.
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Post by efg72 on Nov 2, 2022 14:27:38 GMT -5
FCS Comeback Kids: FCS Teams With the Most Wins After Trailing in a Game
OCT 27, 2022 CRAIG HALEY / AUTHOR Twitter WhatsApp Email Share One mark of an excellent, and especially resilient, football team is an ability to overcome a deficit and go on to post a victory.
Some FCS teams have been particularly good at it during the 2022 season.
Nationally ranked Fordham and Montana State lead the way with five wins each after trailing in a game.
Following is a breakdown of the FCS teams with the most come-from-behind wins:
Most Wins in Games When Trailing
5 – Fordham (6-1), Montana State (7-1)
Fordham trailed by double digits in four of its five comeback wins, including by 38-27 in the fourth quarter against UAlbany. Montana State only trailed during the first half of its five comeback wins, but they include double-digit deficits to Northern Colorado and Weber State in each of the past two weeks.
4 – Abilene Christian (5-2), Butler (5-2), Elon (5-3), Holy Cross (7-0), Idaho (5-2), Jackson State (7-0), Merrimack (6-2), North Dakota (4-3), Rhode Island (5-2), Samford (6-1), Texas A&M-Commerce (5-2), Valparaiso (4-3)
Most Wins in Games When Trailing at Halftime
3 – Fordham (6-1), North Dakota (4-3)
2 – Abilene Christian (5-2), Butler (5-2), Elon (5-3), Florida A&M (5-2), Merrimack (6-2), North Dakota State (5-2), Rhode Island (5-2), South Dakota State (7-1), Stonehill (3-2), Valparaiso (4-3)
Most Wins in Games When Trailing in 4th Quarter
2 – Butler (5-2), Eastern Kentucky (4-3), Elon (5-3), Fordham (6-1), Kennesaw State (3-4), Lindenwood (5-2), Marist (2-5), Nicholls (2-6), North Dakota (4-3), Sacred Heart (4-3), Sam Houston (4-2), Samford (6-1), Southeastern Louisiana (4-3), Stephen F. Austin (5-3), Stonehill (3-2)
Biggest Deficits to Comeback Wins
18 – Elon down 28-10 in third quarter to 35-31 win at William & Mary (Sept. 24); Sacred Heart down 21-3 in second to 38-31 overtime win over Dartmouth (Sept. 24)
Biggest 4th-Quarter Deficits to Comeback Wins
15 – Elon down 31-16 to 35-31 win at William & Mary (Sept. 24)
14 – Harvard down 21-7 to 28-21 OT win over Merrimack (Sept. 16); Brown down 24-10 to 44-38 2-OT win over Bryant (Sept. 17); Hampton down 31-17 to 38-37 OT win over UAlbany (Oct. 15)
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Post by cruskater31 on Nov 2, 2022 14:30:58 GMT -5
Fordham would have a puncher’s chance to beat anyone in the field of 24. Maybe the big dogs wouldn’t want them in given that those schools would easily beat an 8-3 or 7-4 CAA team but might get into a 63-62 game with the Rams. Fordham IMO clearly has the best offense in all of FCS, even when you control for the fact that they play a weak PL schedule. I can't see any FCS team putting up more than 45 points against our defense in regulation, whether it be in Worcester, Wiliamsburg, Fargo or Bozeman. Edit: Incarnate Word may be just as good offensively. Forgot about them. give me UIW at a late December (17?) home game. I don't think it gets that cold down there and could hamper their offense. Two Catholic schools also.
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 2, 2022 14:53:12 GMT -5
The Sisters of Charity of the Incarnate Word who founded UIW in 1881 probably did not forsee their school challenging a Jesuit College from Massachusetts in Football 141 years later.
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