tj
Crusader Century Club
Posts: 144
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Post by tj on Oct 18, 2023 15:39:22 GMT -5
An off week to rest up and watch some of the other PL and FCS teams do battle. Pretty rough week here for many (deeppurp and myself went 0-for)....nycru12 and chuchu went 3-1 to win the week. nycru vaults in to a tie with dharry atop the standings. I didn't get a parking pass soon enough this week, so look for me at Hogan post-game to collect your prizes. Only 3 tiilts this week, all PL games with the Rams idle. Week 8: (all games Sat.) Lehigh @ Bucknell Colgate @ Georgetown Lafayette @ Holy Cross Standings: 1 dharry 27-12 nycru2010 3 cru12 26-13 crosser kycru75 hc16 8 rgs 25-14 cruskater joutshc77 ignutz purplehaze chc8485 14 ignatius 24-14 efg72 24-15 wayback hc87 pp 24-10 19 hcpride 23-16 alum ndgrad bigfan jflare hcfc45 hc6774 26 hcnation 22-16 sader1970 22-17 longsuff 29 inhocsigno 21-17 cardman 21-18 chuchu deeppurp 33 hc69 19-13 saderfan 19-15 35 tj 14-14 36 midwestsader 1-0 37 crossisback 0-1 Any mistakes etc, pm me Bucknell Colgate HC
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Post by Sader Fan on Oct 18, 2023 15:58:30 GMT -5
HC Colgate Bucknell
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Post by hc6774 on Oct 19, 2023 6:22:31 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate Holy Cross
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Post by Crosser on Oct 19, 2023 8:58:05 GMT -5
Bucknell Georgetown Holy Cross
This is a tough week. I wouldn’t be shocked about going anywhere from 3-0 to 0-3. 0-3 would be very unexpected though.
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Post by cruskater31 on Oct 19, 2023 9:12:58 GMT -5
Some disagreement here in our two other PL games, Bucky has 20 votes to Lehigh's 8. Colgate 18 to Georgetown's 10. Going to be a fun weekend for PL football!
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Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Oct 19, 2023 19:11:57 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate Holy Cross
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Oct 19, 2023 23:41:09 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate Holy Cross
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Post by longsuffering on Oct 19, 2023 23:57:37 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate Lafayette There must be an interesting analysis behind the Lafayette pick. I think this poll on an unaffiliated PL board would have about a third picking the Leopards.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Oct 20, 2023 4:09:48 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate Lafayette There must be an interesting analysis behind the Lafayette pick. I think this poll on an unaffiliated PL board would have about a third picking the Leopards. I think the matchup favors the Leopards. This game is more or less a coin flip IMO. See midwest's analysis for more insight.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Oct 20, 2023 4:14:24 GMT -5
There must be an interesting analysis behind the Lafayette pick. I think this poll on an unaffiliated PL board would have about a third picking the Leopards. I think the matchup favors the Leopards. This game is more or less a coin flip IMO. See midwest's analysis for more insight. And weirdly enough, I think more pressure is on us. Winning streak notwithstanding, a loss torpedoes our playoff chances more so than Lafayette.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Oct 20, 2023 10:13:19 GMT -5
I've always found the Sagarin rankings to be invaluable in evaluating a team's strength. He gives one team a rating of 50.3 and another a rating of 44.7 and suggests that the first team should win by 5.6 points on a neutral field, 8.6 points at home, or 2.6 points on the road. If you believe in his math you can ballpark a rating for a team's gam result., e.g. if you beat a 40 point team by 14 point at home that earns you a (40+14-3) 51 . Here's the points "earned" by Lafayette and HC in their last 6 games
Lafayette 38= 19-14 win at Sacred Heart (30.1) 49= 7-42 loss at Duke (80.7) 59= 24-3 vs Columbia (40.8) 59= 28-20 vs Monmouth (53.7) 61= 56-22 vs Bucknell (30.1) 51= 12-9 at Princeton (44.5)
Holy Cross 53= 42-20 vs Merrimack (34.0) 65= 28-31 at bc (65.0) 78= 49-24 at Yale (50.2) 70= 47-7 vs Colgate (33.4) 42= 28-38 vs Harvard (54.7) 61= 55-27 @ Bucknell (30.1) Typo corrected-thank you Crosser
You can see why Sagarin makes Holy Cross a solid favorite at home vs Lafayette
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Post by Crosser on Oct 20, 2023 10:23:36 GMT -5
HC vs. Bucknell 55-27.
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hc69
Crusader Century Club
Posts: 219
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Post by hc69 on Oct 20, 2023 11:14:48 GMT -5
Bucknell Colgate HC
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Post by purplehaze on Oct 20, 2023 11:38:42 GMT -5
Bucknell - if Rucker doesn't play this game is a tossup Colgate - this team is showing some toughness and Osborne just might be a better QB than Brescia Holy Cross - on a dry field I think we win big - in the rain, crazy things can happen
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Post by joutsHC77 on Oct 20, 2023 11:57:15 GMT -5
Bucknell Gate HC
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Post by Ignutz on Oct 20, 2023 12:18:14 GMT -5
Bucknell - if Rucker doesn't play this game is a tossup Colgate - this team is showing some toughness and Osborne just might be a better QB than Brescia Holy Cross - on a dry field I think we win big - in the rain, crazy things can happen The good news is that the field drains very well. The latest on Accuweather shows 0.05" of rain every hour from 8:00pm tonight thru 8:00am tomorrow - so just over a half inch in twelve hours. Thereafter, some breaks, and only about 1/4" from 1:00pm thru 4:00pm. No downpours at all, so I don't think field conditions will be a significant factor. I'm thinking that the field conditions should be better than last December's UNH game. Will we see the Men's lax team shirtless in the east end-zone?? Let's hope the Leopards are running on baloney skins!
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Post by wayback on Oct 20, 2023 15:15:26 GMT -5
Bucknell Georgetown Holy Cross
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Post by longsuffering on Oct 20, 2023 17:25:59 GMT -5
Bucknell - if Rucker doesn't play this game is a tossup Colgate - this team is showing some toughness and Osborne just might be a better QB than Brescia Holy Cross - on a dry field I think we win big - in the rain, crazy things can happen The good news is that the field drains very well. The latest on Accuweather shows 0.05" of rain every hour from 8:00pm tonight thru 8:00am tomorrow - so just over a half inch in twelve hours. Thereafter, some breaks, and only about 1/4" from 1:00pm thru 4:00pm. No downpours at all, so I don't think field conditions will be a significant factor. I'm thinking that the field conditions should be better than last December's UNH game. Will we see the Men's lax team shirtless in the east end-zone?? Let's hope the Leopards are running on baloney skins! Roll out the tarp. Do they even have football tarps?
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Post by rgs318 on Oct 20, 2023 17:57:46 GMT -5
They did at Polar Park.
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Post by CHC8485 on Oct 20, 2023 22:09:13 GMT -5
Bucknell Georgetown Holy Cross
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Post by HC16 on Oct 21, 2023 7:21:41 GMT -5
Bucknell Georgetown HC
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Post by HCFC45 on Oct 21, 2023 7:34:42 GMT -5
Bison Hoyas Crusaders
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