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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Aug 22, 2022 15:59:32 GMT -5
8-3 and another PL title and trip to FCS playoffs. Merrimack W Buffalo L Yale L Colgate W Harvard L Bucknell W Lafayette W Fordham W Lehigh W Bryant W Georgetown W Reasonable, but a split with H-Y might have a higher probability than either being swept or sweeping. Not suggested as a mathematician but as a sports fan. My first look--and maybe it will change if we learn more before the season begins--has the chances as follows Split= 52% Win Both=34% Lose Both= 14%
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Post by hc87 on Aug 22, 2022 16:32:26 GMT -5
Officially went 9-2 but 8-3 wouldn't shock me.... sh*t happens.
The game that scares me is at Colgate....that game has the potential to upturn the apple-cart for the season.
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Post by bringbackcaro on Aug 23, 2022 14:12:44 GMT -5
Not a big fan of these polls, but I’m curious as to why 9 & 10 were to grouped together.
There are four games on the schedule that will dictate the success of the regular season IMHO: Merrimack Buffalo Yale Harvard
Going 2-2 (not a step forward vs last year) is a lot different than going 3-1 (sweeping Merry-Yale-Harvard or beating Buffalo=progressing towards a top 10-15 National program).
We have elevated significantly beyond the rest of the pL and should run the table there.
Go Cross Go!!
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Post by rgs318 on Aug 23, 2022 14:18:31 GMT -5
Some good points BBC. First, I hope to see HC beat Harvard and Yale in the same season for the first time ever. HC has come berry close That is very close, but has not yet pulled it off. If HC can then go 1-1 against Merrimack and Buffalo - along with running the PL table - this will be an outstanding regular season. I look at the squad and see great depth, but I believe getting a solid #2 QB might well make the final push upward attainable.
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Post by bfoley82 on Aug 23, 2022 14:29:24 GMT -5
Not a big fan of these polls, but I’m curious as to why 9 & 10 were to grouped together. There are four games on the schedule that will dictate the success of the regular season IMHO: Merrimack Buffalo Yale Harvard Going 2-2 (not a step forward vs last year) is a lot different than going 3-1 (sweeping Merry-Yale-Harvard or beating Buffalo=progressing towards a top 10-15 National program). We have elevated significantly beyond the rest of the pL and should run the table there. Go Cross Go!! And none of those four change the Patriot League title...
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Post by hc80 on Aug 23, 2022 14:40:14 GMT -5
I will go with 9-2...losses are at Buffalo and either Yale or Harvard in heartbreak fashion......
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Aug 23, 2022 15:33:06 GMT -5
Not a big fan of these polls, but I’m curious as to why 9 & 10 were to grouped together. There are four games on the schedule that will dictate the success of the regular season IMHO: Merrimack Buffalo Yale Harvard Going 2-2 (not a step forward vs last year) is a lot different than going 3-1 (sweeping Merry-Yale-Harvard or beating Buffalo=progressing towards a top 10-15 National program). We have elevated significantly beyond the rest of the pL and should run the table there. Go Cross Go!! Why not? I put 11 wins on its own so that those who predict that we will "run the table" can opt for that selection. If I put 10 & 11 together that would water down the impact of the prediction of a perfect season. Having set 11 on its own, I made the next few selections have two wins (9 &10; 7&8, etc) but went to "4 or fewer" as I thought that the different selections would capture the various adjectives between a fantastic season (11) and an abysmally puzzling one (4 or fewer). As well, I wanted to separate 8 from 9 as 8 would mean we likely did not beat Buffalo, Harvard, or Yale, our three toughest games, while 9meant we defeated. at least one of them. I think a lot of posters enjoy these polls. Give it a try--it's good to go out on a limb and make a prediction when you don't have perfect information, rather than waiting until the season is half way done
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Post by bringbackcaro on Aug 23, 2022 17:00:37 GMT -5
Not a big fan of these polls, but I’m curious as to why 9 & 10 were to grouped together. There are four games on the schedule that will dictate the success of the regular season IMHO: Merrimack Buffalo Yale Harvard Going 2-2 (not a step forward vs last year) is a lot different than going 3-1 (sweeping Merry-Yale-Harvard or beating Buffalo=progressing towards a top 10-15 National program). We have elevated significantly beyond the rest of the pL and should run the table there. Go Cross Go!! Why not? I put 11 wins on its own so that those who predict that we will "run the table" can opt for that selection. If I put 10 & 11 together that would water down the impact of the prediction of a perfect season. Having set 11 on its own, I made the next few selections have two wins (9 &10; 7&8, etc) but went to "4 or fewer" as I thought that the different selections would capture the various adjectives between a fantastic season (11) and an abysmally puzzling one (4 or fewer). As well, I wanted to separate 8 from 9 as 8 would mean we likely did not beat Buffalo, Harvard, or Yale, our three toughest games, while 9meant we defeated. at least one of them. I think a lot of posters enjoy these polls. Give it a try--it's good to go out on a limb and make a prediction when you don't have perfect information, rather than waiting until the season is half way doneA) For exactly the reasons I outlined -- going 3-1 against Merrimack-Buffalo-Harvard-Yale + running the table would be a significantly better season than going 2-2 in that first group of games -- shows progress vs last year, puts us in a better place for seeding in the NCAA Tournament, etc. On the other end of the spectrum, anything under 7 wins would be a disappointing season (barring significant injuries), so does it really need to be broken into 3 different groups? 2) I'd rather keep it close to the vest so I don't get too take-committed in one direction C) Gun to my head, I'd say 10 wins -- would love to see us run the table against those 4 key OOC opponents, but don't think we will have the level of consistent QB play needed to get there. Hope I'm wrong!
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Post by hiltonheadcrusader on Aug 23, 2022 17:13:45 GMT -5
11-0 & Full season, 1st round bye, ultimately 13-1......Damn Bison
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Aug 23, 2022 18:28:36 GMT -5
11-0 & Full season, 1st round bye, ultimately 13-1......Damn Bison Sounds like you have us playing the traditional JMU role and heading to Fargo for the semis. Im in!
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Aug 23, 2022 23:23:48 GMT -5
Here's what I would set for the odds for regular season Crusader wins, allowing for 16% takeout for the house. Of course, if it were parimutuel betting the odds would change as the selections came in.
11 Wins=12-1 10 Wins= 7-2 9 Wins= 6-5 8 Wins= 4-1 7 Wins= 15-1 6 Wins= 125-1 5 Wins= 800-1
As we did last year a couple of times, perhaps we will have some mythical betting challenges later in the season--I think posters enjoyed that last year
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Post by ndgradbuthcfan on Aug 24, 2022 5:33:46 GMT -5
10-1 with a legitimate shot at 11-0 if we win first two.
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Post by sader1970 on Aug 24, 2022 7:57:38 GMT -5
Last year I predicted a very close loss to UConn and was proven wrong. So, hoping my close predicted loss to Buffalo will also be proven wrong.
My take is Buffalo is a better team than UConn was last year but I also firmly believe that we'll have a better team than we had last year. But, again, let's take care of Merrimack first.
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Post by longsuffering on Aug 24, 2022 9:51:18 GMT -5
Buffalo is set up to be gracious hosts to the Crusaders. The Bulls lost their last four games last season and should be favored to lose their opener at Maryland.
The game smells like an upset to me, provided we play well while beating Merrimack.
The OOC provides plenty of competitive football and the PL schedule provides plenty of interest in striving for a four-peat and the auto-bid. Great schedule this year.
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Post by joe on Aug 24, 2022 11:46:59 GMT -5
11-0 again. If not now, then when?
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Post by longsuffering on Aug 24, 2022 13:43:17 GMT -5
11-0 again. If not now, then when? Excellent point. The NCAA and Covid gave players an extra year and even without grad school, HC under Coach Chesney is not squandering it. Perhaps we will also benefit more than opponents like Merrimack, Bryant, Buffalo, URI, etc., who can take grad transfers when the four years of plenty of graduates with eligibility ends.
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Post by lehighowl on Aug 24, 2022 19:43:49 GMT -5
9-2 regular season, 11-3 overall....
Losses to Buffalo and either Harvard or Yale; The Bulls might have struggled to end the year but they have talent. BTW, absolutely atrocious place to watch a game; was there for Lehigh's win in 2002 and Temple's loss in 2019. Both Harvard and Yale are stacked with talent. The two Ancient 8ers would be major headaches in the playoffs. 2 playoff wins which is the PL's best playoff run since Colgate in 2015....
I really think Holy Cross can/will be the best FCS team in the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic. Villanova imo because of pedigree is their closest challenger, and easily reasoned, still the barometer. Delaware seems to have stockpiled talent but they're breaking in a new coach and haven't done squat nationally since they ran Keeler out of Newark. Plus, like the PL, the Hens can't beat Villanova either. With that said, odds are one of HC and Delaware supplant 'Nova this year as the best team in the region. Hopefully the bracket would break where HC avoids a trip to NDSU. Bozeman, Missoula, Brookings are no fun in December but I would give the Crusaders at least a punchers chance. Heck, Coastal Carolina went into Missoula on a below zero day and smacked the Griz around. The Fargo Dome is like what the Orange Bowl of the 80s and early 90s were to the U. A place of execution for the visitor.....
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Post by efg72 on Aug 24, 2022 21:20:35 GMT -5
football-fcs flag STAN BECTON | NCAA.COM | AUGUST 24, 2022
9 potential FCS over FBS upsets for the 2022 college football season
FCS FOOTBALL SEASON PREVIEW: PLAYERS TO WATCH, POTENTIAL UPSETS AND MORE SHARE
FCS vs. FBS games are back in 2022. After 12 FCS teams landed FBS upsets last year, what teams could be next? Here are nine potential FCS over FBS upsets for the 2022 college football season.
Week 1
Bryant at FIU | Thursday, Sept. 1 | 7 p.m. ET
FIU finished 1-11 last year, with its one win coming against LIU, a school that Bryant beat by 45 points. In 2022, Bryant returns quarterback Zevi Eckhaus, a signal-caller entering his second season who can lead the Bulldogs to the upset.
FCS-FBS: Here is every FCS vs FBS game scheduled for 2022
Central Connecticut State at UConn | Saturday, Sept. 3 | 12 p.m. ET
UConn lost to Holy Cross last year and since 2018 has beat FCS opponents by an average of only 5.3 points. That's a good sign for a Central Connecticut State team that most recently won the NEC title in 2019.
South Dakota State at Iowa | Saturday, Sept. 3 | 12 p.m. ET
The last time Iowa lost to an FCS opponent was in 2016. The Hawkeyes were ranked No. 13 when they lost to MVFC powerhouse North Dakota State. Fast forward to 2022 and another MVFC powerhouse, South Dakota State, heads to Iowa. This time, the Hawkeyes are unranked.
UC Davis at Cal | Saturday, Sept. 3 | 4 p.m. ET
Cal finished 2021 with a 5-7 record. UC Davis finished 2021 in the FCS playoffs. Led by one of FCS football's premier running backs in Ulonzo Gilliam Jr., UC Davis proved it has what it takes to shock the Golden Bears last year when they landed the first FCS-over-FBS upset of the season.
UPSETS: See every FCS-over-FBS upset
Week 2
Holy Cross at Buffalo | Saturday, Sept. 10 | 6 p.m. ET
Holy Cross is the three-time defending Patriot League champion, led by a dominant defense and a returning quarterback in Matthew Sluka Jr. The Crusaders visit a Buffalo team that finished 4-8 last year, losing to teams like Nebraska. This game screams upset.
Week 3
Montana State at Oregon State | Saturday, Sept. 17 | 8 p.m. ET
Oregon State finished with its first winning season in eight years in 2021. The Beavers host FCS runner-up Montana State in Week 3, a team that consistently ranks among the best in the subdivision. We'll find out if Oregon State's 2021 success was a sign of progress or a flash in the pan quickly when the Bobcats come to town.
North Dakota State at Arizona | Saturday, Sept. 17 | 11 pm. ET
Arizona was 1-11 in 2021, finishing as one of the worst teams in the FBS. North Dakota State finished as the best team in the FCS, winning its ninth title in 11 years. The last time the Bison played an FBS opponent, they upset a ranked team. Not a good sign if you're a Wildcat fan hoping for an easy win.
RANKED: Here's the FCS blueprint to beating a ranked FBS team
Week 4
Chattanooga at Illinois | Thursday, Sept. 22 | 8:30 p.m. ET
Illinois finished 2021 with a 5-7 record, but three of its wins were by one possession. Meanwhile, Chattanooga is the predicted favorite in the SoCon, coming off a 6-5 season. With All-Americans on the offensive and defensive lines, the Mocs have the size to match up and compete with the Illini and potentially land the upset.
Sacramento State at Colorado State | Saturday, Sept. 24 | 5 p.m. ET
Colorado State lost by 19 points to an FCS opponent in 2021 en route to a 3-9 season. Sacramento State is the reigning Big Sky champion. These are two teams heading in opposite directions entering the season. Week 4 has all the makings of an upset.
🏈LATEST COLLEGE FOOTBALL NEWS 🏈
📊 POLLS: FCS Coaches | Stats Perform Top 25 💥MORE: Standings | Scoreboard | 2022 FCS Championship | FCS-FBS upsets 🔥 HBCU: Follow the 2022 season | 2022 Classics | 2022 Celebration Bowl| Champ history 🥇 AWARDS: Walter Payton Award | Buck Buchanan Award | Jerry Rice Award 🐐ALL-TIME Top-5: NDSU | Montana | EWU | Villanova | Delaware | Harvard | Yale 😤 RIVALRY: Dakota Marker | Brawl of the Wild | Bayou Classic | Florida Classic | The Game | The Rivalry 👀 HISTORY: Schools with most national titles | Winningest teams | Most unbreakable FCS records | Biggest stadiums | Longest OT games
Stan Becton joined NCAA.com in 2021 and has since served as an FCS, track and field, cross country and HBCU beat reporter. He has covered numerous NCAA championship events, including the FCS Championship, DI Track & Field Championships and Men's Frozen Four. Additionally, he covered the 2021 Celebration Bowl. Stan graduated from Carnegie Mellon University, earning a degree in Professional Writing and playing football as a five-year letterman. You can follow him on Twitter @stan_becton.
The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NCAA or its member institutions.
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Post by longsuffering on Aug 24, 2022 21:28:49 GMT -5
Stan Becton is an astute analyst.
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Post by Chu Chu on Aug 25, 2022 11:42:03 GMT -5
Holy Cross at Buffalo | Saturday, Sept. 10 | 6 p.m. ET
Holy Cross is the three-time defending Patriot League champion, led by a dominant defense and a returning quarterback in Matthew Sluka Jr. The Crusaders visit a Buffalo team that finished 4-8 last year, losing to teams like Nebraska. This game screams upset.
Love it!
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Post by fordham72 on Aug 25, 2022 13:05:14 GMT -5
Hi all, im a long time follower of your board. I root for HC, unless you are playing Fordham. I admire the deep football tradition you have and terrific loyalty of the Alumni.i also enjoy the good natured conversation among you all. Unfortunately our board too often sinks into bitter nonsense back and forth. Anyway, after reviewing last year and previewing the upcoming season, it is clear HC fans have a right to be optimistic. You have a fine team. However i think the dismissive news about the PL league and the idea that “running the table” is a foregone conclusion might be a bit too optimistic. Last year we played you guys w/o our top linebacker as well as our best running back. Also, our QB hurt his hand at end of first half and was thus sub par in second half. Your defense was superb last year but your best defensive player is now in an NFL camp.yes you have a lot of stars, like Dobbs returning but team chemistry changes year to year. Also the schedule gives us a by week before we play you this year. Colgate has a really good young QB and that squad is always big and strong. They wont be a cake walk. So Crusaders, enjoy the season, beat Merrimack, just dont get out too far in front of your headlights, you just might hit a tree.
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Post by sader1970 on Aug 25, 2022 13:13:51 GMT -5
An excellent warning. Thanks for posting to help us prevent group think.😉
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Post by efg72 on Aug 25, 2022 13:39:34 GMT -5
Hi all, im a long time follower of your board. I root for HC, unless you are playing Fordham. I admire the deep football tradition you have and terrific loyalty of the Alumni.i also enjoy the good natured conversation among you all. Unfortunately our board too often sinks into bitter nonsense back and forth. Anyway, after reviewing last year and previewing the upcoming season, it is clear HC fans have a right to be optimistic. You have a fine team. However i think the dismissive news about the PL league and the idea that “running the table” is a foregone conclusion might be a bit too optimistic. Last year we played you guys w/o our top linebacker as well as our best running back. Also, our QB hurt his hand at end of first half and was thus sub par in second half. Your defense was superb last year but your best defensive player is now in an NFL camp.yes you have a lot of stars, like Dobbs returning but team chemistry changes year to year. Also the schedule gives us a by week before we play you this year. Colgate has a really good young QB and that squad is always big and strong. They wont be a cake walk. So Crusaders, enjoy the season, beat Merrimack, just dont get out too far in front of your headlights, you just might hit a tree. Fordham 72 very well stated and appreciated
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Aug 25, 2022 13:49:34 GMT -5
Last year we played you guys w/o our top linebacker as well as our best running back. Also, our QB hurt his hand at end of first half and was thus sub par in second half. I agree with a lot of this. If not for the weather delay and DeMorat's injury, that could have been a very different game.
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Post by midwestsader05 on Aug 25, 2022 17:19:28 GMT -5
Hi all, im a long time follower of your board. I root for HC, unless you are playing Fordham. I admire the deep football tradition you have and terrific loyalty of the Alumni.i also enjoy the good natured conversation among you all. Unfortunately our board too often sinks into bitter nonsense back and forth. Anyway, after reviewing last year and previewing the upcoming season, it is clear HC fans have a right to be optimistic. You have a fine team. However i think the dismissive news about the PL league and the idea that “running the table” is a foregone conclusion might be a bit too optimistic. Last year we played you guys w/o our top linebacker as well as our best running back. Also, our QB hurt his hand at end of first half and was thus sub par in second half. Your defense was superb last year but your best defensive player is now in an NFL camp.yes you have a lot of stars, like Dobbs returning but team chemistry changes year to year. Also the schedule gives us a by week before we play you this year. Colgate has a really good young QB and that squad is always big and strong. They wont be a cake walk. So Crusaders, enjoy the season, beat Merrimack, just dont get out too far in front of your headlights, you just might hit a tree. Fordham, while some on this forum might have purple colored glasses and vote/predict with their heart, I’d say a healthy plurality of HC fans/alums are realists and believe the games at Colgate and vs. Fordham are absolutely ones HC will have to play very well to win. I for one don’t think running the PL table is a “foregone conclusion.” We know those teams are very capable of beating us and we are going to get everyone’s best punch. Last season I settled on 8-3 as my 2021 season prediction. I had us going 2-2 in our 4 toughest OOC games (UCONN, Yale, Harvard, and Monmouth). I thought we’d get tripped up somewhere else and that it would likely be in the Bronx. I did pick HC come game week based on how we were playing heading into the game and the injuries to Fordham (I believe in addition to Greenhagan, the Rams were missing a starting D-lineman) As it relates to DeMorat, it wasn’t a freak injury in that he got shellacked by our stud LB Anderson on a blitz and that did change the game (my recollection is that it happened early in Q3.) I’m not ready to make my prediction for this year but will say my head is in a very similar place as it was last year at this point given our tougher OOC schedule. I’ve had as much respect for the talent on Fordham’s roster as anyone on this board and continue to do so.
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