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Post by rgs318 on Sept 13, 2022 9:46:05 GMT -5
The number before each team is Bassett's rank for that team:
80-90% chance of victory 115 Central Michigan by 24 over 252 Bucknell (42-18) 56 Coastal Carolina by 18 over 131 Buffalo (42-24)
70-80% chance 117 Wllliam & Mary by 14 over 205 Lafayette (28-14) 126 Richmond by 17 over 231 Lehigh (31-14) 134 Monmouth by 18 over 213 Georgetown (42-24)
60-70% chance 146 Fordham by 11 over 166 Albany (42-31) 161 Penn by 14 over 161 Colgate (31-17)
50-60% chance 185 Brown by 4 over 199 Bryant (42-38) 101 HOLY CROSS by 1 over 100 Yale (35-34)
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Post by cruskater31 on Sept 13, 2022 10:58:46 GMT -5
Bassett must know that this week is also homecoming for Holy Cross! I always find the playing the Ivies for the first week of the season an anxiety raising unknown. We know they have 2 weeks of game tape and can use some of their "preseason" weeks preparing specifically for us. On the other hand, it is their first game so it is possible to see procedural flags, dropped balls, and other mistakes. Yale always comes to play and even though they were picked 4th (I think) in the Ivy poll, I would expect this to be a close game, but I am cautiously optimistic. Maybe instead of a walk-off field goal we actually blow them out. Who knows?
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Post by Ignutz on Sept 13, 2022 13:05:08 GMT -5
The number before each team is Bassett's rank for that team:
80-90% chance of victory115 Central Michigan by 24 over 252 Bucknell (42-18) 56 Coastal Carolina by 18 over 131 Buffalo (42-24) 70-80% chance117 Wllliam & Mary by 14 over 205 Lafayette (28-14) 126 Richmond by 17 over 231 Lehigh (31-14) 134 Monmouth by 18 over 213 Georgetown (42-24) 60-70% chance
146 Fordham by 11 over 166 Albany (42-31) 161 Penn by 14 over 161 Colgate (31-17) 50-60% chance 185 Brown by 4 over 199 Bryant (42-38) 101 HOLY CROSS by 1 over 100 Yale (35-34) I'd love to see the algorithm/analytics that ranks a 2-0 team with a FBS upset win on the road behind a team that hasn't yet taken the field and is picked to finish fourth in its league.
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Post by rgs318 on Sept 13, 2022 14:14:37 GMT -5
Pro-IL bias?!
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