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Post by rgs318 on Oct 29, 2023 5:20:53 GMT -5
Massey moved HC up one spot (to 23) and sees the Crusaders as a 21 point favorite (38-17). He gives HC an 88% chance for the win.
(For weather the prediction is a high of 62 degrees with partly sunny weather.
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Post by joutsHC77 on Oct 29, 2023 10:39:29 GMT -5
We beat them 42-14 last year. I'd like to see a repeat of that score!
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Post by hc1996 on Oct 29, 2023 13:30:44 GMT -5
I’d like to see Colgate, Fordham and Lehigh beat Lafayette. Unlikely, but stranger things have happened.
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Post by hchoops on Oct 29, 2023 14:03:22 GMT -5
I’d like to see Colgate, Fordham and Lehigh beat Lafayette. Unlikely, but stranger things have happened. As Meatloaf said,”Two out of three ain’t bad.” |
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Oct 29, 2023 17:41:33 GMT -5
We beat them 42-14 last year. I'd like to see a repeat of that score! Just win, baby. It's rarely easy in Bethlehem. We've won 5 of the last 10 meetings there. 3 of those 5 wins were decided within one score. 2021 - W 31-12 => was 14-12 and Lehigh offense deep in HC territory either very late 3rd or early 4th before the wheels fell off the bus for the Engineers 2019 - W 24-17 2017 - L 34-21 (season finale for Holy Cross, Brian Rock was interim HC) 2015 - L 51-38 2013 - L 34-20 2011 - L 14-7 (game ended up being the de facto league title game) 2009 - W 24-20 => Randolph to Santana on a tight-window throw on 4th and goal with a minute left; if we lost that game and otherwise won out (including the Bucknell game that we actually lost), Lehigh would've won the league at 5-6 that year...crazy to think about. 2007 - W 59-10 => I know they've had some bad teams recently, but this still might be the largest opposition margin of victory ever in Bethlethem 2005 - W 13-10 => the game that put Tom Gilmore on the map, over a top-10 Mountain Hawk squad. In pouring rain I believe. 2003 - L 38-20 (season opener) |
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Post by timholycross on Oct 29, 2023 20:17:01 GMT -5
You forgot the 20-3 HC win in spring, 2021. Like yesterday, Matthew Sluka carried the ball once and didn't throw the ball.
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Post by hc1996 on Oct 30, 2023 9:03:30 GMT -5
Wouldn't be surprised to see Sluka on the sidelines again this weekend. It's anyone's guess at this point and I hope Lehigh is scrambling to prepare. I feel confident that Pesansky and the boys can pull this one off. Further, could we be looking at a two QB assault against Army? Keep them guessing all day long in Michie Stadium!
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Post by hchoops on Oct 30, 2023 10:22:17 GMT -5
I believe that if Matt is healthy, he plays. Joe was terrific, but I think we are still a one QB team, if Matt is healthy, obviously.
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Post by hcpride on Oct 30, 2023 10:29:58 GMT -5
Joe is a Junior with, ostensibly, one more year of eligibility.
BUT, as a frosh, he played precisely 4 games. And 4 is the magic number in terms of redshirting…
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Oct 30, 2023 11:29:14 GMT -5
Holy Cross, statistically, has a huge advantage in almost every area although we do know that "the game will be played on the field and not on paper". Let's take a look at passing and Red Zone for example:
Stat---HC----LEH
Comp %-----61%/50%
Yds/Att-------9.1.5.5
Yds/Rec-----14.9/11.0
Ints Thrown----5/12
I think the Red Zone info is always interesting
Red Zone Offense
Stat-----HC/LEH
TD=-----32 (82%)/15 (71%)
FG------2(5%)/3 (14%)
No Score----5(13%)/3(14%)
Red Zone Defense
OPP TD----17(63%)/17(47%
OPP FG----6(22%)/10(28%)
No Score---4(15%)/9(25%)
Offensive TD's from beyond the Red Zone
Holy Cross= 16
HC Opponents= 14
Lehigh= 3
Lehigh Opponents= 10
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Post by HC92 on Oct 30, 2023 11:53:30 GMT -5
I think we’ll need to win convincingly to keep our playoff hopes alive. Two point wins against PL teams (even pretty good ones) ain’t going to cut it. Army is our only chance for a “quality” win and even that isn’t that great with Army at 2-6 with wins over only Delaware State and UTSA. Need to pair that with two more big wins in PL play. Can’t keep giving up 38 points per game as we’ve done for the last month.
Or we keep winning 41-38 and hope that Lafayette loses to either Colgate or Fordham, thus setting up a fun rivalry game with Lehigh having a chance to knock the Leopards from the top spot in the final game of the year.
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Oct 30, 2023 12:09:40 GMT -5
I think we’ll need to win convincingly to keep our playoff hopes alive. Two point wins against PL teams (even pretty good ones) ain’t going to cut it. Army is our only chance for a “quality” win and even that isn’t that great with Army at 2-6 with wins over only Delaware State and UTSA. Need to pair that with two more big wins in PL play. Can’t keep giving up 38 points per game as we’ve done for the last month. Or we keep winning 41-38 and hope that Lafayette loses to either Colgate or Fordham, thus setting up a fun rivalry game with Lehigh having a chance to knock the Leopards from the top spot in the final game of the year. Agree. If we do manage to win out, there are going to be a lot of discussions on selection Sunday whether a 7-4 Big Sky, Valley, or CAA team should be getting in over 8-3 Holy Cross. |
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Post by ndgradbuthcfan on Oct 30, 2023 13:04:40 GMT -5
The three teams that beat us are 18-5; the five we beat are 19-20. Not too shabby.
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Post by hchoops on Oct 30, 2023 14:34:58 GMT -5
I believe that the quality of the opponent is far more meaningful than just the record number
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Post by HC92 on Oct 30, 2023 15:07:28 GMT -5
The three teams that beat us are 18-5; the five we beat are 19-20. Not too shabby. Doesn’t make me feel great about the quality of our wins. Since none of our remaining opponents is likely to finish with a winning record, that’s going to continue to be a problem. |
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Post by alum on Oct 30, 2023 15:28:16 GMT -5
Here are some results which would be small upsets which could help HC if it wins out, because it puts teams at 4 (or even 5) losses and, if it matters to the commitee, would show that these teams have lost momentum.
Mercer losing to Samford could put them at 4 losses. I think a 3 loss HC team has a decent shot to get in before them. Similarly, if W. Carolina gets upset in one of their three remaining games (less likely) I think we sneak in ahead of them.
Villaova losing two (presumably Delaware and UNH) putting them at four losses and on a downswing.
Albany losing two (William and Mary and Monmouth) Of course, if W and M beats Albany, they could end up 8-3 and push HC out, too.
If Northern Iowa loses to Missouri State and couples that with an expected loss to ND State they will have five losses. I don't care what conference they play in, a five loss team is going to be hard to pick over a three loss team.
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Upon reflection, getting in with four losses would require a perfect series of events to occur along the lines of drawing an inside straight three hands in a row. I have decided it is not even worth pondering.
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Post by hcpride on Oct 30, 2023 16:07:23 GMT -5
4 losses and 0 quality wins is a no go from the get go in terms of an at-large berth.
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Post by cruskater31 on Oct 30, 2023 17:37:31 GMT -5
Record vs D1 opponents and SOS is certainly a major factor. FBS wins count as well so let's throw our eggs in the Army basket
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Post by hchoops on Oct 30, 2023 17:41:14 GMT -5
Record vs D1 opponents and SOS is certainly a major factor. FBS wins count as well so let's throw our eggs in the Army basket Lehigh first, please |
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Post by cruskater31 on Oct 30, 2023 17:44:37 GMT -5
Record vs D1 opponents and SOS is certainly a major factor. FBS wins count as well so let's throw our eggs in the Army basket Lehigh first, please I agree! But I will leave that for the coaches and players haha and I'll speculate about the Army game |
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Post by efg72 on Oct 30, 2023 17:59:40 GMT -5
4 losses and 0 quality wins is a no go from the get go in terms of an at-large berth. None of us truly know There just might be 7-4 teams that are 7-4 in the FCS and fro the Valley/Sky that qualify Stop speculating and just win this Saturday |
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Post by hcpride on Oct 30, 2023 18:18:18 GMT -5
4 losses and 0 quality wins is a no go from the get go in terms of an at-large berth. None of us truly know There just might be 7-4 teams that are 7-4 in the FCS and fro the Valley/Sky that qualify Stop speculating and just win this Saturday Not sure you read the entire bold. Stop speculating? LOL |
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tj
Crusader Century Club
Posts: 144
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Post by tj on Oct 30, 2023 21:38:39 GMT -5
None of us truly know There just might be 7-4 teams that are 7-4 in the FCS and fro the Valley/Sky that qualify Stop speculating and just win this Saturday Not sure you read the entire bold. Stop speculating? LOL So if Matt is less than 100% do you start Joe and have Matt 100% for army. Joe certainly moved the offense |
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Post by longsuffering on Oct 30, 2023 21:53:15 GMT -5
Not sure you read the entire bold. Stop speculating? LOL So if Matt is less than 100% do you start Joe and have Matt 100% for army. Joe certainly moved the offense A consideration. |
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Post by HC92 on Oct 30, 2023 21:54:26 GMT -5
Not sure you read the entire bold. Stop speculating? LOL So if Matt is less than 100% do you start Joe and have Matt 100% for army. Joe certainly moved the offense I think so. If he’s not 100%, start with Joe and hope he’s just as good as he was last week. If Matt is available off the bench and we need him, so be it. |
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