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Post by rgs318 on Nov 9, 2023 16:15:24 GMT -5
90-100% Chance for the win
Merrimack by 21 over CCSU (38-17)
70-80% Chance
Harvard by 10 over Penn (31-21)
60-70% Chance
Lafayette by 7 over Fordham (28-21)
50-60% Chance
Army by 4 over HOLY CROSS (21-17)
Bucknell by 1 over Georgetown (17-16) virtual tossup
Boston College by 3 over Virginia Tech (24-21)
Coigate by 4 over Lehigh (14-10)
Yake by 4 over Princeton (14-10)
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 9, 2023 17:03:14 GMT -5
I don't think Georgetown is eliminated from the championship race because at 2-2 they beat Fordham and have a chance to beat HC. If Laffy loses out and GU wins out I think the Hoyas get the auto-bid.
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Post by nycrusader2010 on Nov 9, 2023 18:44:48 GMT -5
I don't think Georgetown is eliminated from the championship race because at 2-2 they beat Fordham and have a chance to beat HC. If Laffy loses out and GU wins out I think the Hoyas get the auto-bid. I think Colgate would factor in though. |
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Nov 9, 2023 19:08:35 GMT -5
I think Colgate would factor in though. Colgate can't get by Holy Cross. HC can end with no more than two losses, 'Gate already has two losses and HC holds the head to head win. Actually, Fordham can't get by HC either since the Rams have two losses and HC holds the head to head win. That would leave Laffy, HC and GU still mathematically alive for the auto-bid. If you’ve got a bunch of teams that finish 4-2, head to head losses aren’t a disqualifier. While HC beat Colgate, Colgate beat Lafayette and we didn’t. So where does that leave us then? Two results need to happen and all hell breaks loose. Lafayette loses to Fordham. HC loses to Georgetown. If that happens, we could have HC, Lafayette and Georgetown all 4-2. Then either Fordham or Colgate at 4-2 (they play each other in the season finale, so one will have three losses guaranteed). |
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Nov 9, 2023 19:12:09 GMT -5
Seems clear to me- it will be Lafayette or Holy Cross as the PL champ. If Fordham can spring the moderate upset over Lafayette or if Lehigh can pump itself full of adrenaline to beat its century+ rival it will be HC.
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 9, 2023 19:13:37 GMT -5
Colgate can't get by Holy Cross. HC can end with no more than two losses, 'Gate already has two losses and HC holds the head to head win. Actually, Fordham can't get by HC either since the Rams have two losses and HC holds the head to head win. That would leave Laffy, HC and GU still mathematically alive for the auto-bid. If you’ve got a bunch of teams that finish 4-2, head to head losses aren’t a disqualifier. While HC beat Colgate, Colgate beat Lafayette and we didn’t. So where does that leave us then? Two results need to happen and all hell breaks loose. Lafayette loses to Fordham. HC loses to Georgetown. If that happens, we could have HC, Lafayette and Georgetown all 4-2. Then either Fordham or Colgate at 4-2 (they play each other in the season finale, so one will have three losses guaranteed). I revised my answer above once now I am going to delete it because you are right, a three or four way tie would be complicated, so five of seven teams are still mathematically alive. |
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Post by longsuffering on Nov 9, 2023 19:16:33 GMT -5
Seems clear to me- it will be Lafayette or Holy Cross as the PL champ. If Fordham can spring the moderate upset over Lafayette or if Lehigh can pump itself full of adrenaline to beat its century+ rival it will be HC. That's the most likely but a Laffy loss and GU win would make it interesting. |
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Nov 9, 2023 19:18:52 GMT -5
The Crusaders are not going to
Lose to the Hoyas
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