Post by KY Crusader 75 on May 6, 2016 16:00:47 GMT -5
Here's my selections
#14 Mohaymen-very very impressive in his first 5 races.Drawing a line through his Florida Derby as we have heard he bled then. Watched his Monday morning gallop and he was moving over the track very well. I like his breeding--Tapit on top is great for stamina; Dixie Union on the bottom is sub-optimal but he did sire a Belmont Stakes winner. As the youngest colt in the race (May 2nd birthday) he likely has matured more since his last race than the February and March foals. Mohaymen will get the bulk of my action
#13 Nyquist -the 2 YO champion is 7 for 7 and the deserving favorite. His breeding underneath is suspect --Forestry is pure speed, so he may be challenged in deep stretch. Still, you cannot throw him out
Below those two I like
#3 Creator--strong stamina breeding top and bottom and he has shown steady improvement over his past 4 races. Had a nice win in the Arkansas Derby, coming from way back to win by daylight . I thik he coud be the best of the "deep closers"but he may not get the pace setup he wants as there is little speed in the race (Danzing candy and Outwork)
#11 Exaggerator-- Has the highest last race Beyer, a 103 in winning the Santa Anita Derby. Some are discounting that performance because it was on a sloppy track but that may not be the sole reason he moved forward. He came from way back in that race but he appears to be versatile having also won on the lead or pressing the pace
#2 Suddenbreakingnews-- Well bred and second ro Creator in the Ark Derby
#17 Mor Spirit-- This is the choice (though tepid) of the great Steven Crist and that must be respected. He's been first or second in every race. Mid-pack closer
This is not a super bunch of colts--prep races were several lengths slower than last year.
KY...your comments (given with full attribution) were most useful and helped make the Derby even more enjoyable. Thank you.
I liked the actions of one of the last horses being led into the starting gate. The assistant hit his hindquarters with a knotted rope to "encourage" him to move. His responded by kicking out both hind legs, just missing the man who had hit him. I like his attitude!
There is no doubt the Derby is one of the best sporting event/shows anywhere. The singing of "My Old Kentucky Home" is very special (with the original "socially incorrect" words).
Post by KY Crusader 75 on May 9, 2016 10:23:44 GMT -5
Glad you enjoyed the commentary. Well, I needed Mohaymen to come through to make my day, but he got a bad break and although he ran a great race thereafter he might not have caught Nyquist anyways. Nyquist looked terrific and will be very short odds in The Preakness.
I make an annual presentation at my company's big dinner the night before the Oaks (entertaining our brokers & distributors and trade customers from around the world) and my partner and I, along with extraordinarily witty repartee, handicap the Kentucky Oaks, Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (the race before the Derby-we are the sponsor), and the Derby. I did not pick the winner of the Oaks or Derby but nailed the $15.40 winner of the WRTC, so anyone who took my advice would have prospered. That's a relief--don't need to hide from those who attended.