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Post by HCFC45 on Feb 24, 2019 15:27:44 GMT -5
Feels so much better with HC in the WIN column! ! Congrats to classof83 and ndgradbuthcfan for both going 5 for 5! ! We have a tight race here with only 3 picks separating the top 5 posters! Counting the remaining games and PLT there are 19 more picks coming! Ky Crusader 75 is slowly creeping up and won't go away easily! ! Rank / Poster / 24-Feb / Total
1 hc6774 4/5 53/80 2 Worcester Gray 3/5 51/80 2 Sons of Vaval 3/5 51/80 4 hcnation 3/5 50/80 4 Ky Crusader 75 4/5 50/80 6 bigfan 4/5 49/80 7 efg72 3/5 48/80 8 rgs318 4/5 47/80 8 Tom 4/5 47/80 8 sader1970 4/5 47/80 8 classof83 5/5 47/80 12 HC16 3/5 46/80 12 HCFC45 4/5 46/80 14 CHC8485 3/5 45/80 14 alum 4/5 45/80 16 hc80 3/5 42/80 16 ACTP 3/5 42/80 18 sader81 3/5 39/80 18 Crosser 4/5 39/80 20 thecrossisback 4/5 36/80 21 Dimarz 3/5 42/75 22 ndgradbuthcfan 5/5 40/75 23 lou DNP 18/55 24 jflare DNP 28/49 25 hc811215 DNP 17/30 Wednesday, February 27, 2019Holy Cross @ Colagte 6:00pm Lehigh @ American 7:00pm Bucknell @ Navy 7:00pm Loyola @ Army 7:00pm Boston University @ Lafayette 7:00pm All picks must be in by 6:00pm, Wednesday, February 27, 2019.
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Post by rgs318 on Feb 24, 2019 15:40:48 GMT -5
Holy Cross (if I moved up by picking Colgate, and Colgate won, I would not be able to enjoy it). Lehigh Bucknell Army Boston University
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Post by bigfan on Feb 24, 2019 15:46:51 GMT -5
Colgate Lehigh Bucknell Army Boston Univ
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Post by sader1970 on Feb 24, 2019 17:45:27 GMT -5
Holy Cross @ Colgate (could be an upset but I'm not picking it. Crusaders do much better when I pick against them ) Lehigh @ American Bucknell @ Navy Loyola @ Army Boston University @ Lafayette
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Post by DiMarz on Feb 24, 2019 18:10:47 GMT -5
Holy Cross Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by A Clock Tower Purple on Feb 24, 2019 18:17:48 GMT -5
HC
AMERICAN
BUCKNELL
ARMY
BU
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Post by shooterflatch on Feb 24, 2019 18:59:05 GMT -5
Taking the roadies across the board. Go Holy Cross!
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Post by hcnation on Feb 24, 2019 19:04:42 GMT -5
Colgate Lehigh Bucknell Army Boston Univ
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Post by sader81 on Feb 25, 2019 7:43:28 GMT -5
HC Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by ndgradbuthcfan on Feb 25, 2019 8:40:32 GMT -5
HC (for the 17th time) Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette (big rebound from humiliating loss)
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Post by alum on Feb 25, 2019 9:11:24 GMT -5
HC Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
I have also picked HC in every game so far. There has been no reason not to do so given the parity in this league and the up and down nature of our play. There are no patterns that I can identify that would make me think that our guys are ever more than a 5% underdog.
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 25, 2019 9:51:58 GMT -5
When should we move to the "secret picks" methodology for the contenders---the next set of games??
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Post by efg72 on Feb 25, 2019 10:13:38 GMT -5
Holy Cross Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by hc6774 on Feb 25, 2019 10:36:56 GMT -5
with 19 picks left too early for 4 corners
the top 5 are 62 - 66%... about the same as just picking the home teams???
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Post by thecrossisback on Feb 25, 2019 12:45:12 GMT -5
Holy Cross Lehigh Bucknell Loyola BU
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Post by Sons of Vaval on Feb 25, 2019 13:14:50 GMT -5
Colagte American Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by hc6774 on Feb 25, 2019 14:06:38 GMT -5
Colagte Bucknell Lehigh Army Lafayette
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Post by Tom on Feb 25, 2019 15:54:02 GMT -5
HC American Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by classof83 on Feb 26, 2019 11:21:11 GMT -5
Holy Cross American Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 27, 2019 11:13:19 GMT -5
Colgate--- Colgate has won 6 games in a row and is 7-1 at home in PL games. Colgate won the first game at the Hart Center on the free throw line. HC has a tough chore today-HC is 3-9 when its opponents shoot better than 53.9% (eff fg pctg) and Colgate's fg pctg is 57.7% in PL games.
Lehigh-- Lehigh is 5-3 on the road in PL games and won the first game against AU by 7 points. American's defense seeks to suppress opponents three point scoring. AU's PL opponents take only 31% of the FGA from beyond the arc and they connect only 29% of the time. In the first Lehigh-AU game, Lehigh took only 14 threes but 40 twos. Contrast that game with the Lehigh HC game: against HC, Lehigh attempted 34 threes and 31 twos. Still, that strategy did not work as Lehigh won as Lehigh is an excellent two point shooting team. American U is all about the shooting as the team is 12-4 when it shoots 52%+ and 2-9 when it does not. Lehigh's defense is a hair above that 52% mark in PL games. HC is the only one of 19 teams ranked 163 or lower to beat Lehigh. AU is ranked #193.
Bucknell-- Bucknell won the forst game by 12 in PA. Sotos may be back to full strength--had a great game against Lafayette, as did all Bison. Bison 3 point shooters, moribund of late, came to life in that game. Navy has lost 4 of its last 5, beating only archrival Army. Navy's 10th best offense in PLY play faces the conference's #1 defense.
Army-- Army lost by 2 at Loyola as its shooting was off. Army is 2-13 when it shoots (eff fg pctg) is 50% or lower and 10-4 when it is better than 50%. Loyola's opponents have shot better than 50% in 24 of 29 games and 56.8% in PL games. Loyola has a chance, of course, and needs to protect against turnovers and grab offensive rebounds and keep Army off the free throw line. Army is good at forcing turnovers and is #1 in PL games at stopping opponent offensive rebounds. Loyola is 2-6 on the road in PL games and I see that going to 2-7.
Lafayette-- Hopefully the shell shock of the destruction at the hands of Bucknell has worn off the Leopards. Laf beat BU by 7 in Boston in an upset. That was Laf's 2nd best shooting game of the year and BU's 8th worst. Lafayette had won 5 in a row before the debacle versus Bucknell. In those last six games Justin Jaworski's worst offensive-rating in KenPom is a stellar 136 as he has gone 13-18 on twos and 13-25 on threes. Boston U's big star Mahoney appears to be wearing down as his O-ratings in last 6 games are 88-109-115-94-99-99, decent but not all-PL caliber. He was MVP in 6 of 10 games between dec1 thru Jan 16, but none since. Last year Mahoney shot .578 OOC but ramped it up to .625 in conference games. This year Mahoney shot an exceptional .672 OOC but has fallen to .578 in conference, including "just" .507 in those last 6 games. Although Lafayette stumbled badly against Bucknell I will bet that the Leopards still have the momentum on their side.
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Post by hc80 on Feb 27, 2019 15:42:35 GMT -5
Holy Cross American Bucknell Army Boston University
And I for one consider this Patriot League season just bizarre.... consistency is not a word that I would apply to any of these teams!
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Post by CHC8485 on Feb 27, 2019 16:32:25 GMT -5
Colagte Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by WorcesterGray on Feb 27, 2019 16:52:03 GMT -5
Colgate Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by HC16 on Feb 27, 2019 17:21:51 GMT -5
Colagte Lehigh Bucknell Army Lafayette
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Post by HCFC45 on Feb 27, 2019 17:53:54 GMT -5
Holy Cross American Bucknell Army Lafayette Probably have a bettah chance at throwing darts on a board! !
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