Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4)

rgs318
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Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 16, 2019 7:30:23 GMT -5 mm67 likes this

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Post by rgs318 on Sept 16, 2019 7:30:23 GMT -5

80-90% chance of victory
(105) Maine by 18 over (233) Colgate

70-80% chance of victory
(151) Albany by 14 over (226) Lafayette
(64) Syracuse by 11 over (99) Western Michigan
(119) Stony Brook by 21 over (209) Fordham

60-70% chance of victory
(89) Harvard by 8 over (147) San Diego
(97) Yale by 14 over (156) HOLY CROSS
(122) New Hampshire by 7 over (123) Rhode Island

50-60% chance of victory
(231) Bryant by 1 over (222) Brown (toss-up)

* (the number in brackets is the Bassett national rank - among all college football teams)
(219) Lehigh, (239) Bucknell and (99) Navy are not scheduled this week

Last Edit: Sept 16, 2019 7:32:17 GMT -5 by rgs318

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rgs318
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Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 16, 2019 11:48:35 GMT -5

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Post by rgs318 on Sept 16, 2019 11:48:35 GMT -5

It has been 14 with both Massey and Bassett since before the first game. Yale does have an experienced team, but they are still being rated on last season. This year's squad, in their first game, is still a question mark. However, look at our series record against Yale. Despite some big HC wins (a few, including last year) Yale typically has not had much trouble with HC in most years.

Last Edit: Sept 16, 2019 12:55:37 GMT -5 by rgs318

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longsuffering
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Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 17, 2019 1:39:19 GMT -5 rgs318, nycrusader2010, and 1 more like this

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Post by longsuffering on Sept 17, 2019 1:39:19 GMT -5

Sept 16, 2019 10:50:15 GMT -5 mm67 said:

rgs - Great research on your part as usual.
Although, I don't follow the line, 2 TD's seems like a large point spread to me.
Clearly, the bettors don't think it's gonna' be close. 131/2 would have been a lot more reassuring for me.
The upset will be all the sweeter. Beat Yale. LoveHC

Taking HC and 14 points is a no brainer imo.

rgs318
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Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 17, 2019 6:14:39 GMT -5

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Post by rgs318 on Sept 17, 2019 6:14:39 GMT -5

I am surprised that neither Massey nor Bassett has backed off much from their initial 14 point spread. In this case, if they were looking at last year for Yale, our win over them I would have thought would count for something of a close score.

Currently:
Massey = Yale 33 / Holy Cross 21
Bassett = Yale 38.5 / Holy Cross 24.5

Last Edit: Sept 17, 2019 6:19:00 GMT -5 by rgs318

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hchoops Kaftan MOP Circle Posts: 23,679	Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 17, 2019 8:14:02 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by hchoops on Sept 17, 2019 8:14:02 GMT -5 both polls probably weigh the returning players far more heavily than last season's head to head result we returned almost 0 QB experience as well as losing key WRs and LBs Yale has many returning quality players

hc87 Kaftan MOP Circle A Warning Posts: 5,670	Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 17, 2019 13:15:15 GMT -5 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by hc87 on Sept 17, 2019 13:15:15 GMT -5 Offshore betting line has HC +12 O/U 54.5

A Clock Tower Purple Johnny Turco Association Posts: 4,122	Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4) Sept 17, 2019 19:40:22 GMT -5 rgs318 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Member Give Gift Back to Top Post by A Clock Tower Purple on Sept 17, 2019 19:40:22 GMT -5 Bear in mind point spreads are not expected margins of victory/loss. They are #'s generated to an get equal amount of action on each side.
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Bassett Point Spreads (Week #4)

Post by rgs318 on Sept 16, 2019 7:30:23 GMT -5

Post by rgs318 on Sept 16, 2019 11:48:35 GMT -5

Post by longsuffering on Sept 17, 2019 1:39:19 GMT -5

Post by rgs318 on Sept 17, 2019 6:14:39 GMT -5

Post by hchoops on Sept 17, 2019 8:14:02 GMT -5

Post by hc87 on Sept 17, 2019 13:15:15 GMT -5

Post by A Clock Tower Purple on Sept 17, 2019 19:40:22 GMT -5