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Post by Ray on Mar 13, 2020 11:38:10 GMT -5
Sounds to me like you need some new information sources. I don't mean to sound alarmist (well actually I do), but ignorance is simply not an excuse. Ignorance will quite literally get people killed. Get educated.
There is no doubt Dr. Fauci has publicly noted his belief that lethality will be 10 times greater with this new Corona virus than the seasonal flu (ordinarily pegged at .1 and ordinarily kills about 20K Americans). Obviously this 1% mortality prediction could be on or off target and just as obviously he was not suggesting 200,000 Americans would die from Coronavirus. Some countries have found the mortality to be substantially lower (South Korea and Germany) and some substantially higher (Italy) than 1%.
South Korea is actually right at 1% death rate now. Germany is lower, yes, but the virus hasn't been there as long as South Korea, and their number is very likely to rise as active cases resolve (for good and bad).
You make it sound like Dr. Fauci was spouting a personal opinion. Rather, he was sharing his knowledge and interpretation as the foremost expert in the field, and his "belief" should be weighted accordingly.
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Post by hcpride on Mar 13, 2020 12:16:28 GMT -5
There is no doubt Dr. Fauci has publicly noted his belief that lethality will be 10 times greater with this new Corona virus than the seasonal flu (ordinarily pegged at .1 and ordinarily kills about 20K Americans). Obviously this 1% mortality prediction could be on or off target and just as obviously he was not suggesting 200,000 Americans would die from Coronavirus. Some countries have found the mortality to be substantially lower (South Korea and Germany) and some substantially higher (Italy) than 1%.
South Korea is actually right at 1% death rate now. Germany is lower, yes, but the virus hasn't been there as long as South Korea, and their number is very likely to rise as active cases resolve (for good and bad).
You make it sound like Dr. Fauci was spouting a personal opinion. Rather, he was sharing his knowledge and interpretation as the foremost expert in the field, and his "belief" should be weighted accordingly.
Not that it matters but my two sources indicate South Korea remains below 1 (.88) as does Germany. It is well within the realm of possibility that some nations will have higher rates and some nations will have lower rates. Don't take it personally. We get through a much more deadly seasonal flu each year and we'll get thru this.
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Post by Ray on Mar 13, 2020 12:21:53 GMT -5
South Korea is actually right at 1% death rate now. Germany is lower, yes, but the virus hasn't been there as long as South Korea, and their number is very likely to rise as active cases resolve (for good and bad).
You make it sound like Dr. Fauci was spouting a personal opinion. Rather, he was sharing his knowledge and interpretation as the foremost expert in the field, and his "belief" should be weighted accordingly.
Not that it matters but my two sources indicate South Korea remains below .1 (.088) as does Germany. It is well within the realm of possibility that some nations will have higher rates and some nations will have lower rates. Don't take it personally. We get through a much more deadly seasonal flu each year and we'll get thru this. Check your math, I think you misplaced a decimal there:
7979 cases, 71 deaths is .889%, not .0889%.
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Post by hcpride on Mar 13, 2020 12:36:20 GMT -5
Not that it matters but my two sources indicate South Korea remains below .1 (.088) as does Germany. It is well within the realm of possibility that some nations will have higher rates and some nations will have lower rates. Don't take it personally. We get through a much more deadly seasonal flu each year and we'll get thru this. Check your math, I think you misplaced a decimal there:
7979 cases, 71 deaths is .889%, not .0889%.
Yes, below 1 (and I rushed the decimals - thanks for re-checking your source and confirming Korea is below 1%). We shouldn't be surprised that different countries have different rates and South Korea and Germany (for example) are below 1% (at this point) and Italy (for example) is well above 1% (at this point). I edited my post.
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Post by WCHC Sports on Mar 13, 2020 13:12:24 GMT -5
If you're not washing your hands regularly, you're just gross and doing yourself a disservice anyway, to say the least. If this is already airborne because somebody breathes, talks, coughs, or sneezes, -- and I'll bet this was out there WELL before any of the current timelines-- there's not much you can "DO" besides just quarantine everyone from this point forward by federal/local/marshal law.
S*** can happen anywhere. There is no "safe." The hotel that observed/potential patients were in in China collapsed and I think killed some folks. When your number is up, your number is up.
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