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Post by bison137 on Jan 4, 2024 10:50:22 GMT -5
Here's what KenPom has to say about each team's OOC strength of schedule.
Team= KenPom's Calculation/Ranking among all D-1 teams
Colgate= +5.90/ #43 Lehigh= +4.58/ #57 Lafayette= +1.77/#117 Bucknell=+1.43/#126 Loyola= (0.64)=#195 Boston U= (2.62)/#253 Holy Cross= (3.84)/#285 American U= (4.960/ #311 Navy= (6.48)/ #337 Army= (7.18)/ #346
it should be noted that Pomeroy simply ignores the D3 games that some teams have played. Those games would have a significant effect on SOS if included. The place where it makes the biggest difference is Lehigh, who has played two very weak D3 teams. If they were included, Lehigh’s SOS would be worse than #150.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 2, 2024 20:53:26 GMT -5
Strange anomaly. Its head-scratching that Clemson, Miami, Florida State, UNC and UVA have combined for one title during that entire time. Miami was in the acc when they won their titles... Wrong again. Before posting things like this, you should do some basic research if you don’t know the facts. Miami was in fact an independent when they won their first two titles, and then they were in the Big East when they won their second two titles.. They first joined the ACC in 2004. to repeat, since you apparently didn’t read it accurately, the ACC in total has exactly one NCAA championship in the last 60 years.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 2, 2024 14:00:26 GMT -5
BC did make the NCAA tournament last season and played in a Regional Final. Holy Cross hasn't won two games in a single NCAA Tournament since 1963. If BC had played the Holy Cross game last season (it was PPD) it would have hurt their end of season #22 RPI and made them a weaker NCAA seed. Cite your math. There clearly was no math, or any logic. The effect of one game in a 54 game schedule, assuming BC won it, would have been minimal on the RPI. And the RPI, as you know, is not the major factor in seeding for any sport.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 1, 2024 21:12:27 GMT -5
The schedule time is completely up to the individual schools for these games. When the HC women play at Bucknell, the start time will be 6 PM.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 31, 2023 20:52:13 GMT -5
Williamson, at 7 feet, could be a BIG problem... he is 7–0, but he has poor hands and is not at all strong. At best he is a project. Nathan Davis left Griffin only one real player, I.e. Jack Forrest.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 31, 2023 15:19:57 GMT -5
Actually, the main fault on this play belongs to the Lions. They tried to deceptively have multiple players run up to the ref and the ref got confused. The ref clearly announced the player that he thought had checked in, and Detroit should’ve recognized that there was confusion.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 30, 2023 19:24:56 GMT -5
Possible Regulars: (Bucknell has been using a variety of starting lineups) 24 Jack Forest G (Sr 6’5”) 16 ppg / 6 rpg / 36 mpg 03 Noah Williamson F (Soph 7’0”) 11 ppg / 6 rpg / 27 mpg 06 Elvin Edmonds IV G (Jr 6’2”) 9 ppg / 2 rpg / 27 mpg 13 Josh Bascoe G (Jr 6’0”) 9 ppg / 2 rpg / 29 mpog 22 Ruot Bijiek F (Soph, 6’9”) 7 ppg / 3 rpg / 19 mpg 01 Ian Motta F (Jr 6’6”) 5 ppg / 3 rpg / 18 mpg 02 Brady Muller F (Soph 6’4”) 1 ppg / 1 rpg / 5 mpg 23 Pip Ajayi F (Jr 6’7”) 3 ppg / 1 rpg / 11 mpg Four starters are locked in. Williamson, Bijiek, and Forrest have started every game in the entire season. Bascoe has started the last nine games and played fairly well, so he will start. The only question mark is the fifth starter. Elvin Edmonds has started every game when healthy this year, but he missed time with a sprained MCL earlier in the year. And today he sprained his ankle, leaving his availability up in the air. If he doesn’t play, it could be Ian Motta if they go to a big lineup, or more likely freshman guard Brandon McCreesh, or possibly a placeholder in Brady Muller, who only play a couple of minutes if he starts. Bucknell only has two freshmen, and one of them is not a D1 player. Nathan Davis lost interest in recruiting last year and pretty much did nothing in that category.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 29, 2023 20:44:09 GMT -5
I hope that 993 official attendance puts the goofy predictions of 100 or fewer to rest. Anyone who showed up today got to see an entertaining game. Hopefully they will come again. it’s a little bit apples to oranges. The official attendance includes tickets that were sold but not used. The speculation was about how many people would actually show up. I didn’t watch any of the game, but it certainly sounds like it was a lot more than 100.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 27, 2023 21:11:45 GMT -5
As I posted on the "nadir" thread and will ask here since no one responded: I would say that the probability is at least 99% that the game was scheduled by DP. Very unlikely that a coach on his way out would’ve scheduled a game like this back in January, or February.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 27, 2023 14:13:43 GMT -5
What you’ve listed are better than the below, but other good ones… Vermont in 2004-05 (the year they beat Syracuse). Bucknell in 2005-06 (the year they were a 9 seed and beat Arkansas). Siena in 2008-09 (the McCrybaby game. They were really good that year. 9 seed) Harvard in 2011-12 (12 seed and finished the season 26-5) That Bucknell team btw ended up ranked 25th in the final USA Today Coaches Poll. Also were top 25 in RPI and top 30 in OOC SOS.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 24, 2023 17:21:50 GMT -5
Dude you want BC to compete for National Champs. They had 1 good year chill out. They don't even charge for baseball games. The expectation in the ACC is to compete for National Championships... The ACC has produced one national champion in the past 60 years.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 23, 2023 21:17:09 GMT -5
Notre Dame really struggling on threes. They are #30 as far as taking threes (3pt attempts as %of field goal attempts) but #351 in 3 pt percentage at a woeful 26.1%. That's what you get when you hire a head coach with a lot of NBA experience. The 3 is king in the NBA these days, especially w/the Celts, which is where Shrewsberry came from. FWIW, Shrewsbury does have 16 years of college coaching experience.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 23, 2023 11:49:20 GMT -5
As Ray has noted elsewhere, getting to the line frequently is one of Paulsen's mantras. Free throw rate (FTA/FGA) is one of Dean Oliver's "four factors" shown to correlate with successful play. An average D1 team's FTR is about 33% (one free throw attempt for every three field goal attempts). Unsurprisingly, we have been pretty terrible at this for almost a decade - thus far this year, 22% (ranked 357th). Only two players this season have an FTR greater than 33% - Louth (36%) and Declan, with an eye-popping 95% (20 FTA/21 FGA) and 85% FT% to boot. Paulsen said that at Bucknell also. But most years, Bucknell was in the bottom 30% of teams in terms of the ratio of free throws to field goal attempts. In his first three years, which included two years with Mike Muscala, they ranked about 280th in the nation on average.. And once he left, the FT attempts dropped off dramatically once again. In total five of his seven seasons at Bucknell saw the team below average in getting to the line. In his final year, however, they got to the line quite a bit with Chris Haas, Nana Foulland, and Zach Thomas all having a great ability to draw fouls.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 22, 2023 13:47:23 GMT -5
Another example of the utter futility of the PL this season - as we approach the end of Dec. there are 3 teams who have still not notched their first D.1 victory: Lafayette, Lehigh and Loyola. Hard to fathom. Two out of three anyway. Loyola beat Brown early in the year. While NAD might not want to categorize Brown as a D1 program, I think the NCAA does. It may not be D1, but at least Dr. Reed was able to beat Cairn University, the #326 D3 team, by 55 points.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 20, 2023 21:39:12 GMT -5
Quinn Boettinger 6'3, multiple offer, St. Joe's, Manhatten, Lafayette included Quinn off the board commits to Navy over Army, Binghamton, Columbia, Drexel, Holy Cross, Lafayette, Manhattan, Marist, Oakland, Penn, Rider, and Saint Joseph’s Tim Taylor is doing an amazing recruiting job at Navy. Has four quality 2025 commitments already. It used to be that Army and Navy rarely got anyone before the fall of their senior year, when the players' options were dwindling. Will be interesting to see if he can hold onto all of them, both through signing date and then for four years at the Academy. For the Patriot League, there are currently six commits for 2025: Navy - 4 Bucknell - 1 Lehigh - 1
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Post by bison137 on Dec 20, 2023 18:11:35 GMT -5
This punk behavior all playing out in front of a bunch of elementary school children. Curious if Merrimack’s #10 was involved in this stuff. At Bucknell the other day, she occasionally taunted opposing players, despite her team trailing by double digits most of the game. The refs finally t’d her up after she hit a basket and taunted the Bucknell players as they went up the court. Ultimately, her team lost by 20.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 20, 2023 18:04:44 GMT -5
What has happened to PL women’s bball ? - in addition to our lackluster performance today, Army (2-7) lost to Binghamton and AU (2-8) lost to UMBC- looks to me like it’s Lehigh, BU and then everyone else with HC leading the others. After our fast start shooting today we shot 12 of 51 (23 pct) over the last 3 plus quarters - I don’t know how this is happening How do you figure Lehigh and BU are ahead of HC? By your logic that you used in another thread you pu-pued the Holy Cross wins over Stonehill and UML. Lehigh only beat Stonehill by 12 (HC won by 27) and BU needed a buzzer beater to beater UML (HC won by 10). Offense sells tickets, defense wins championships (as proven last year). I have no idea what will happen once PL plays starts. But as of today, purplehaze’s analysis is right on the money. There is no way that an objective observer wouldn’t have Lehigh and Boston University as the top two teams right now. That is also the opinion of the credible rating models, such as Massey. as I mentioned, that may change as we get into the PL part of the schedule.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 19, 2023 16:45:25 GMT -5
I watched Bucknell beat Merrimack by 20 points the other day, with Bucknell starting a lineup that consisted of four sophomores and one freshman.. Merrimack was not very impressive in any part of the game. I would expect Holy Cross to beat them by more than 20.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 19, 2023 14:41:09 GMT -5
More frustration. Injuries and Quinnipiac is good but its just another loss at the Hart Center. Let's beat Harvard to try and turn this season around. I watched the first half of last night's game this morning on replay. It was an interesting game for almost the entire first half. It seemed to me CDP was encouraging an uptempo approach on offense. Perhaps he feels that will work better vs PL comp than OOC foes. Could also be he isn't that happy with the half-court offense. The other thought I just had is why not try something different on D like a press? I think someone posted that KenPom had HC as the 2nd worst defensive team in the country. (Not sure what metric that was based on). I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting to see a press. In his seven years at Bucknell, DP did not press even one time, with the exception of a M2M press in the final minute of a lost game.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 12, 2023 14:09:14 GMT -5
Back in the days when there was a JV team, I think the JV's played some prep schools. It might have happened before Are there any rules that prevent a college from putting together a JV team? No rule against it. But for most colleges, it would just be an expensive version of a club team. Also, you couldn’t use it as a vehicle for most of your varsity players to get extra playing time, since every JV game in which an athlete participated would erode the max number of games in which an athlete can play. As you probably know, Army and Navy do have JV teams. But it is feasible for them because both bring in about eight recruited players per year. That leaves plenty of bodies for a large varsity team plus a JV. Prior to scholarships, a number of PL teams had JV‘s. Bucknell was one of those, and an unrecruited JV walk-on named Patrick King developed to the point where he was the PL POY.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 5, 2023 19:24:22 GMT -5
Catch & shoot to tie the game took .3 seconds, impressive. The flop was well done also As was the 4 step shuffle on dead ball OOB which was completely whiffed on by ref ?? are you talking about the inbounder on the Vermont pass that led to the winning basket?
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Post by bison137 on Dec 5, 2023 15:33:46 GMT -5
UConn was atrocious in the first half and lucky to be down only 7. They played much better in the second half. Not sure Clingan is ready to be a lottery pick this year. Tristen Newton is really good. Clingan is very good but I think he remains a work in progress. I can’t imagine that he is a lottery pick in today’s NBA. FWIW, ESPN’s latest draft ranking, which came out today, has Clingan moving up to the sixth spot overall.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 4, 2023 16:03:53 GMT -5
The first NET rankings were released today. There are 362 teams. Seven of the ten Patriot League schools are in the bottom quarter with six having rankings in the 300's. Given roughly 2/3 of the remaining games will be against other league members, the rankings for the conference are not likely to get appreciably better. #136 Colgate #202 Boston U #266 Bucknell #295 Navy #311 Lehigh #321 Loyola-MD #327 American #331 Lafayette #347 Holy Cross #354 Army Link: www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankingsLooking at these ratings.
If we go 0-2 with the top 4 teams, 1-1 with the next 4, and 2-0 with Army, we would be 6-12 in the PL.
Hoping for better but probably a pretty realistic estimate.
I doubt HC will go 0-8 vs those top four. Except for Colgate, the rest are certainly winnable games, especially at home.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 2, 2023 14:50:43 GMT -5
Why not press down 9 with 2:30 left? Paulson does not press. Ever. In his tenure at Bucknell, we didn’t see one true press in seven years.
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Post by bison137 on Dec 1, 2023 20:49:39 GMT -5
The game was played in Portland not Bangor. They set a new UMaine and America East women's basketball attendance record. Impressive for a mid-major host. Here are some of the OOC teams Holy Cross WBB played in the 2004-5 season: Home vs Providence, UMass, Buffalo, BC and at UConn, Duke, St. John's, DuPaul, and finally Ohio State in the NCAA Tournament. The other usual OOC suspects didn't include any cupcakes like Connecticut College. I think it was easier twenty years ago because WBB was still growing from minor to major sport. Congratulations to the Black Bears. It’s an impressive list, but you areright that the landscape was quite different. For example, both Buffalo and Providence were among the absolute worst teams in the nation. They would have struggled to not finish last in the patriot league. And UMass wasn’t particularly strong. But a lot of the others were impressive names at that time.
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