|
Post by efg72 on Mar 11, 2020 19:26:56 GMT -5
Comparison between Italy and US Getting ahead of Italy in addressing the virus might prove to be important
|
|
|
Post by rgs318 on Mar 12, 2020 6:32:52 GMT -5
efg72, thanks for that data.
|
|
|
Post by Pakachoag Phreek on Mar 12, 2020 13:00:04 GMT -5
Comparison between Italy and US Getting ahead of Italy in addressing the virus might prove to be important That's a very superficial comparison. The United States has 5.5x the population of Italy, so incidence on a per capita basis, not on an absolute basis, is the better metric. 10,000 cases in Italy = 55,000 cases in the U.S.
|
|
|
Post by efg72 on Mar 12, 2020 13:15:06 GMT -5
From my perspective the graph isn’t about the true number of infected, but to highlight timing/slope of infection. How many days does it increase before plateauing?
Next will be the plateau period which looks like 50-60 days in China before we see a decline.
Italy might be the better country with clear data given China rarely calls it correctly.
|
|
|
Post by timholycross on Mar 12, 2020 16:47:10 GMT -5
More testing will be a win-win. Either the number of cases goes up and the death ratio goes down (because right now we pretty much know who got killed by the coronavirus, but we don't know how many really have it). Or, more people than expected test negative and this might not last as long as we're all fearing.
The only thing about getting tested is the following: Does one really want to stand in a line with a bunch of strangers?
|
|
|
Post by efg72 on Mar 12, 2020 17:34:32 GMT -5
PM you if ok
|
|