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Post by rgs318 on Jan 17, 2021 16:55:11 GMT -5
HC will play at Lehigh next weekend. Each of the two games at Lehigh will tip off at 12 noon. Lehigh is currently 4-2. They lost to Bucknell on Saturday (60-68), after starting the season with wins over Lafayette (81-75 ot), Lafayette (73-65), American (79-70) and American (89-71). On Sunday they lost to Bucknell (66-80).
Massey makes Lehigh a 3 point favorite (69-66) over HC, probably because of home court. It could be a good game - if HC corrects today's errors.
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 17, 2021 19:34:12 GMT -5
PROBABLE STARTERS: 44 Mary Clougherty.......G (SR, 6'0") 15 ppg / 4 rpg / 29 mpg 20 Frannie Hottinger..G/F (SO, 6'0") 13 ppg / 7 rpg / 24 mpg 03 Clair Steele..............G (JR, 5'5") 9 ppg / 3 rpg / 30 mpg 10 Megan Walker..........G (JR, 5'10") 8 ppg / 3 rpg / 26 mpg 34 Mariah Sexe.............F (SR, 6'2") 5 jpg / 4 rpg / 21 mpg
TOP SUBS: 25 Emma Grothaus.....F/C (JR, 6'3") 10 ppg / 7 rpg / 27 mpg 15 Mackensie Kramer...G (FR, 5'9") 11 ppg / 4 rpg / 24 mpg 22 Jamie Albrecht.........G (FR, 6'0") 3 ppg / 2 rpg / 9 mpg
Yes, Lehigh will have a height advantage across the board...but not that much.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 17, 2021 20:26:12 GMT -5
You may see a different starting lineup. Grothaus and Kramer started today vs Bucknell. Clougherty and Sexe did not start. Grothaus started the first couple games but then, sadly, had to leave the LC team when her Mom passed away. She returned yesterday as a sub, and then started today. Limited minutes however. She played a combined 69 minutes in their first two games.
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 18, 2021 11:25:39 GMT -5
Last year HC took 2 games from Lehigh (74-57 in PA), (65-62 in Worcester).
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 18, 2021 15:20:54 GMT -5
REBOUNDING:
Offense - HC has an edge of 1.4 off rebounds/game Holy Cross is 4th in the PL with 37.2 rebounds game Lehigh is 7th with 35.8 rebounds/game
Defense - HC has an edge of 8.7 rebounds/game Holy Cross is 3rd in the PL with 32.8 rebounds/game by opponents Lehigh is 9th with opponents getting 41.5 rebounds/game
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Post by longsuffering on Jan 18, 2021 16:00:08 GMT -5
Without looking at the stats I will say HC gets it rebounding advantage from several bulky, strong sub six footers who assert themselves under the basket and quick guards like AL who has a high basketball IQ and is often in the right place at the right time to snare the ball. Maybe the stats say differently but it appears our two frontcourt bigs are a hidden asset that can continue to improve through the PLT.
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Post by longsuffering on Jan 18, 2021 16:15:12 GMT -5
Just checked the stats. Avery is second in rebounds. She is one chess move ahead in most situations and has the wheels to take advantage. Petro isn't bulky but is getting a decent amount of caroms.
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Post by HC13 on Jan 18, 2021 16:33:16 GMT -5
I would caution that this may be an instance where the stats don't necessarily give an accurate picture. Lehigh has played their games against 3 of the top 5 teams as ranked in the pre-season poll. HC has played 4 of 6 vs 2 teams in the bottom 5 and got walloped in the 2 against the BosU, ranked #2.
A split would be a fantastic, but unlikely result. HC is headed in the right direction, but face four very difficult games over the next 2 weekends.
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 18, 2021 17:06:11 GMT -5
Massey is starting to post ranks. Here are his ranks for the PL: 76 Bucknell (6-0) 125 Boston U. (5-1) 172 Lehigh (4-2) 175 HOLY CROSS (4-2) 241 American (4-3) 255 Army W.P. (5-6) 258 Loyola MD (0-2) 275 Colgate (1-5) 283 Lafayette (0-4) 288 Navy (1-5)
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Post by bison137 on Jan 18, 2021 17:49:38 GMT -5
Looking at absolute rebounding totals is usually misleading in one way or another. In this case, Lehigh plays at a much faster pace than HC - which means there are more available rebounds. Also LU misses a higher pct of shots than does HC, which means more available offensive rebounds for LU. Also LU turns the ball over a lot less than HC, which means LU gets more shots - which means more available offensive rebounds as well. So LU's absolute offensive rebound totals will be misleadingly high relative to HC. Etc.
When you look at what pct each team gets of available rebounds, it looks like this:
OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS: HC 36.8% of available offensive rebounds (2nd in PL), LU 21.9% (10th in PL)
DEFENSIVE REBOUNDS: LU 74.2% of available defensive rebounds (4th in PL), HC 72.4% (5th in PL)
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Post by longsuffering on Jan 18, 2021 18:03:00 GMT -5
Massey is starting to post ranks. Here are his ranks for the PL: 76 Bucknell (6-0) 125 Boston U. (5-1) 172 Lehigh (4-2) 175 HOLY CROSS (4-2)241 American (4-3) 255 Army W.P. (5-6) 258 Loyola MD (0-2) 275 Colgate (1-5) 283 Lafayette (0-4) 288 Navy (1-5) Sign of a good team/coach: beat the teams you are supposed to beat. If you do that you can't underachieve, you can only meet expectations or exceed expectations if you catch a better team having a bad game. The story of teams with HC's talent levels and depth is often one of inconsistency. That can make things interesting but frustrating, also. If we win one of the next four I'll be pleased.
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Post by bison137 on Jan 18, 2021 18:09:36 GMT -5
Here are the PL rebounding leaders, based on pct of available rebounds a player gets while in the game. Players must average 20+ mpg to qualify.
1 Oluchi Ezemma Holy Cross 22.30% 2 Tessa Brugler Bucknell 21.70% 3 Natalie Kucowski Lafayette 20.70% 4 Riley Childs Boston U. 18.80% 5 Kate Murray Army West Point 16.80% 6 Carly Krsul Bucknell 15.70% 7 Maren Durant Boston U. 14.80% 8 Emily McAteer Loyola Maryland 14.70% 9 Frannie Hottinger Lehigh 14.40% 10 Jennifer Coleman Navy 13.90% 11 Jade Edwards American 13.00% 12 Morganne Andrews Navy 12.90% 13 Delaney Connolly Loyola Maryland 12.80% 14 Alisa Fallon Army West Point 12.60% 15 Ciera Hertelendy Navy 12.20% 16 Emma Grothaus Lehigh 11.90% 17 Sophie Gatzounas Navy 10.90% 18 Lindsay Blackmore Colgate 10.80% 19 Emily Esposito Boston U. 10.40% 20 Avery LaBarbera Holy Cross 10.20% 21 Tiasia McMillan Colgate 10.00% 22 Taylor O'Brien Bucknell 10.00%
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Post by longsuffering on Jan 18, 2021 20:17:53 GMT -5
Impressive for both OE and AL.
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Post by lowerkimball on Jan 19, 2021 9:29:36 GMT -5
I would caution that this may be an instance where the stats don't necessarily give an accurate picture. Lehigh has played their games against 3 of the top 5 teams as ranked in the pre-season poll. HC has played 4 of 6 vs 2 teams in the bottom 5 and got walloped in the 2 against the BosU, ranked #2. A split would be a fantastic, but unlikely result. HC is headed in the right direction, but face four very difficult games over the next 2 weekends. I agree. It will be interesting to see how the PL divisions ultimately impact standings and playoff seeding in both MBB and WBB without the balance of the traditional H/H double round robin format. In most instances, underdogs are more likely to steal a game at home against a better opponent vs winning on the road. It wouldn't surprise me if a "better" team ended up with a lower seed in the PL tournament and wound up bowing out earlier than expected because of it.. something that would be amplified even further at the top of the league where a home game in the PL finals would be tremendous
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Post by longsuffering on Jan 19, 2021 10:51:06 GMT -5
I would caution that this may be an instance where the stats don't necessarily give an accurate picture. Lehigh has played their games against 3 of the top 5 teams as ranked in the pre-season poll. HC has played 4 of 6 vs 2 teams in the bottom 5 and got walloped in the 2 against the BosU, ranked #2. A split would be a fantastic, but unlikely result. HC is headed in the right direction, but face four very difficult games over the next 2 weekends. I agree. It will be interesting to see how the PL divisions ultimately impact standings and playoff seeding in both MBB and WBB without the balance of the traditional H/H double round robin format. In most instances, underdogs are more likely to steal a game at home against a better opponent vs winning on the road. It wouldn't surprise me if a "better" team ended up with a lower seed in the PL tournament and wound up bowing out earlier than expected because of it.. something that would be amplified even further at the top of the league where a home game in the PL finals would be tremendous The cut-outs are deafening.🙂 Only kidding, traveling with tight pandemic restrictions is as big a disadvantage as always I presume.
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:04:36 GMT -5
Both teams a little tight in the opening mins tied at HC 4-2
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:08:01 GMT -5
Tied 8-8 both playing well, couple of silly t/os by each
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:10:14 GMT -5
Under 5 timeout LU 11-8 Petro looking for her shot today, leads w/4
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 23, 2021 12:10:37 GMT -5
Agreed. HC had the ball underneath, but it was lost oob. Lehigh looked to want to pound it into the lane. It worked at fist, but HC adjusted and is doing better.
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:15:53 GMT -5
Couple of 3's by Lehigh now lead 19-14 - HC 0-5 from three
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:19:39 GMT -5
P_C w/ first 3 LU 23-17 w/ a LU basket near the buzzer
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:21:47 GMT -5
HC shooting 33% LU 50%, that's the difference so far. P-C w/5 OE & Petro 4 AL 0-5 in the first
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Post by HC13 on Jan 23, 2021 12:23:28 GMT -5
LU starts the 2nd off w/ a couple of 3s lead 29-19 early
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 23, 2021 12:24:04 GMT -5
LU's lead (10-4) in assists makes it seem like they can score almost at will.
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 23, 2021 12:25:05 GMT -5
Nice second effort by Allen to corral the OR and put back in
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