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Post by WorcesterGray on May 5, 2020 20:12:36 GMT -5
Let's hope for the best and by all means let's be optimistic about them. But let's be real: we don't know #@*&$~! about the incoming class until they get here and play. It's also true that, thanks to the availability of game films and multiple first-hand reports, we have learned more about this group than any group preceding them. They are certainly bigger, stronger, and more athletic than most of the kids we've seen coming into the program over the last several years, with more well-rounded skill sets. I'm less concerned about how well they can play at this level than I am about how well they will be coached.
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Post by longsuffering on May 5, 2020 20:44:24 GMT -5
Let's hope for the best and by all means let's be optimistic about them. But let's be real: we don't know #@*&$~! about the incoming class until they get here and play. It's also true that, thanks to the availability of game films and multiple first-hand reports, we have learned more about this group than any group preceding them. They are certainly bigger, stronger, and more athletic than most of the kids we've seen coming into the program over the last several years, with more well-rounded skill sets. I'm less concerned about how well they can play at this level than I am about how well they will be coached.
Nice graphic. I wonder if Coach Nelson will trademark the saying "Attack and Serve" like John Calipari trademarked "Refuse to Lose" when he left UMass. I always thought any benefit from the phrase should accrue to UMass, not Calipari. It became irrelevant when the Minutemen stopped refusing to lose when Cal left. The best I can figure is that "Attack and Serve" means drive and dish, but maybe it means play aggressively and serve the team, school and community. IDK.
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Post by DFW HOYA on May 5, 2020 21:33:45 GMT -5
Also, I could not care less what Shaughnessy thinks about HC basketball. Much like John Feinstein complaining about Georgetown (and increasingly, Duke) basketball, Dan Shaughnessy has a problem with the Crusaders. The phrase "once vaunted" is an example of this.
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Post by bringbackcaro on May 5, 2020 22:41:33 GMT -5
The program for the most part has been in shambles for the last 10 years. While the optics of so many players leaving is bad the reality is its a home run for the program. Nelson gets a chance to restart the program much earlier than would have been the case if these players, other than Pridgen, had hung around. I think the players he has brought in are far superior to those who left and now it's on Nelson to turn them into a cohesive winning team. +1
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Post by WCHC Sports on May 6, 2020 12:34:41 GMT -5
Also, I could not care less what Shaughnessy thinks about HC basketball. Much like John Feinstein complaining about Georgetown (and increasingly, Duke) basketball, Dan Shaughnessy has a problem with the Crusaders. The phrase "once vaunted" is an example of this. You may not like him, and he may be factually wrong, but he has a platform, and people listen to him as an "expert" as a result-- think Kevin O'Leary on CNBC. Nobody else is talking about HC, so his voice is the only one that matters or is heard in such a vacuum. Also a self-inflicted wound IMHO.
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Post by sader1970 on May 6, 2020 15:04:50 GMT -5
The program indeed has been "in shambles" but to call this a "home run" before the first game has been played with all these new players is, at best, optimistic. Perhaps "irrational exuberance?" I am prepared to hear from the defenders of this extraordinary turnover rate if we move to another 3 win season that "we have to give Nelson time" because they are so inexperienced and a 4 or 5 win season will be viewed as a triumph or great success because we won more games than the 3 game cellar this past season.
I'd like nothing better than to see a 10+ win season or more. That won't excuse the loss of a huge "diagonal slice" from the team but would demonstrate there was a plan.
Out of curiosity, we often post here what our standards for success are as we go forward. For all those true believers that think this cleaning house was a good thing, how low are you setting the bar to consider this coming season a failure (or "lack of success" if you prefer)?
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Post by Tom on May 6, 2020 16:47:37 GMT -5
I don't follow the recruiting scene as closely as many here. Three years ago, I seem to recall very high expectations for the incoming class that was going to show immediate results. Three guys started at least half of the games. One guy made all rookie team. No rookie of year. I'm not trying to call out the class of 2021 or say they were bad as a unit or individuals, but I don't think they lived up to the Crossports spring time hype. Frankly I don't think class could.
As I read Crossports, it sounds like there will be multiple guys competing for rookie of the year. I am hopeful, but similar to my posts about this time last year, I can't label anyone who has never played a college game, the next Thomas, Vicens, etc
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Post by HC92 on May 6, 2020 16:52:37 GMT -5
I have in my head that we need to get to 10 wins in order for me to feel decent about where we’re heading. Tough to win much with 2 seniors, 2 sophs (one of whom barely played as a Frosh) and 7 new guys but we have to win some freaking games.
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Post by possum on May 6, 2020 17:25:15 GMT -5
We are going to find out this year whether Nelson and his staff can coach. With the departures he was able to virtually turnover the roster in one year. He now has "his guys" and hopefully they will learn and grow together as the season progresses. I expect to see steady improvement over the course of the season as the players get more experience and start to gel as a team. 5 wins is not acceptable but I'm hesitant to put a number out there at this time, let's just say I'll know it when I see it whether the team is progressing or not. The one thing I know for sure, with the exception of Pridgen, we weren't winning with the players that left.
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Post by rgs318 on May 6, 2020 17:52:08 GMT -5
Just a reminder...we didn't win with Pridgen. Even with early inexperience (and, perhaps limited pre-season practice) the keys as I see it will be: 1. solid PG play - with on court leadership from day one out of that position 2. better rebounding - more muscle under the boards at both ends 3. solid defense - underneath and on the perimeter 4. a deeper, healthier team - so no one is as winded late in the game (as happened too often last year) 5. an offensive system that uses the personnel we have. Inexperience with their new teammates will make some of these points harder, but by PL season time, it may not be as big a factor. GO CROSS GO!
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Post by efg72 on May 6, 2020 17:55:36 GMT -5
By his comments, BBC might suggest15-18 wins next year so we should all be happy
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Post by gocrossgo on May 6, 2020 18:02:36 GMT -5
I think a deeper team is a given here. We have as many incoming players this year as we had play in the rotation last year. What this rotation is is yet to be seen but I think one could safely say that if used properly Nelson had plenty of depth on his hands.
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Post by efg72 on May 6, 2020 18:23:59 GMT -5
We all hope for great things
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Post by longsuffering on May 6, 2020 20:57:34 GMT -5
We all hope for great things One thing that is amazing is your BFF BBC turned out to be prescient. All last year, before MB or BN were hired, he prescribed the changes he felt the program needed. Enter MB and BN and it's almost like they were given BBC's script and spent the past year implementing it. The changes felt a bit ham fisted at times but if they work I'll be a happy fan.
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Post by efg72 on May 6, 2020 21:08:53 GMT -5
Sometimes blind luck is better than knowledge, but if we win, I will keep my thoughts about the road traveled to myself
let’s just win, we can’t change what happened and the execution, but we can build a path forward-full speed ahead
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Post by bringbackcaro on May 6, 2020 22:21:05 GMT -5
By his comments, BBC might suggest15-18 wins next year so we should all be happy Have another! The program had a very low ceiling with the cast of characters that Carmody had assembled. Nelson has been able turn that roster over and blow up that ceiling in very impressive fashion, particularly for a guy who is apparently a fish out of water and doesn’t understand recruiting with academic standards (if you were to just believe SOV). No reasonable person believes that this roster transformation is going to lead to a huge turnaround next year, but it does remove that low ceiling that would have been hanging over this program for years to come. Next year is about stabilizing the program and moving forward with Nelson’s vision for how he wants the team to play going forward. The following year, we start to turn the corner, and then it’s hopefully off to the races. Nobody knows how successful Nelson will be at HC, but anyone who would take the roster Nelson inherited for the next few years rather than the roster we have now is just lying to him/herself. To maybe relate this to your days turning around all of the F500 companies, you seem to have wanted Nelson to oversee an “evolution” of continued below-.500 seasons with the sub-par personnel group her inherited, rather than a “revolution” to try and drastically change the trajectory of the program.
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Post by Crosser on May 6, 2020 22:50:32 GMT -5
I hope we can “start to turn the corner” before ‘21-‘22.
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Post by sader1970 on May 7, 2020 5:14:50 GMT -5
So, BBC, this coming season means "stabilizing" and not until the following season will we see the corner being turned?
And, since the corner won't be turned this season, just stabilization, should we interpret your comments to mean another 3 win season? You know, just keeping things stable. Fewer than 3 wins might then mean lack of success for you? 3,4,5 wins would mean the future looks bright because Nelson has stabilized the program with his much more talented guys and we're all set to win 8-10 wins the following season demonstrating the corner has been turned and with this much higher ceiling we'll be contending for the PL championship after that?
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Post by efg72 on May 7, 2020 6:51:19 GMT -5
By his comments, BBC might suggest15-18 wins next year so we should all be happy Have another! The program had a very low ceiling with the cast of characters that Carmody had assembled. Nelson has been able turn that roster over and blow up that ceiling in very impressive fashion, particularly for a guy who is apparently a fish out of water and doesn’t understand recruiting with academic standards (if you were to just believe SOV). No reasonable person believes that this roster transformation is going to lead to a huge turnaround next year, but it does remove that low ceiling that would have been hanging over this program for years to come. Next year is about stabilizing the program and moving forward with Nelson’s vision for how he wants the team to play going forward. The following year, we start to turn the corner, and then it’s hopefully off to the races. Nobody knows how successful Nelson will be at HC, but anyone who would take the roster Nelson inherited for the next few years rather than the roster we have now is just lying to him/herself. To maybe relate this to your days turning around all of the F500 companies, you seem to have wanted Nelson to oversee an “evolution” of continued below-.500 seasons with the sub-par personnel group her inherited, rather than a “revolution” to try and drastically change the trajectory of the program. Look we all want HC basketball to win and for Nelson to succeed. I just don’t see him as the second coming. If, however, he is the coach you suggest, and the PL is a truly bad league, he will deliver a winning record next season. We all know neither assumption would be rational, but anything under 9/10 wins next season will be as disappointing as his first year at the helm. By giving the HC community the 2019-20 season he did, the bar for improvement is low, but we should demand and expect more than marginal progress. For those of us that question what took place last season, that is now in the past and can’t be changed. We need to look forward and expect success and a brighter future. If his recruits are as talented as he suggests, that means he can recruit which is a good thing. The outstanding questions around his ability to teach and develop players, manage his roster, create a winning mindset, and coach during the game remain unanswered. We all all want those questions to be answered with a YES. Btw i enjoy your youthful arrogance, so keep it up it creates a few good laughs during these strange times.
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Post by bringbackcaro on May 7, 2020 6:54:33 GMT -5
So, BBC, this coming season means "stabilizing" and not until the following season will we see the corner being turned? And, since the corner won't be turned this season, just stabilization, should we interpret your comments to mean another 3 win season? You know, just keeping things stable. Fewer than 3 wins might then mean lack of success for you? 3,4,5 wins would mean the future looks bright because Nelson has stabilized the program with his much more talented guys and we're all set to win 8-10 wins the following season demonstrating the corner has been turned and with this much higher ceiling we'll be contending for the PL championship after that? “Turning the corner” means being in the top 4 in the PL. I don’t really care how many games we win this year as long as progress is being made. Does it really matter if we win 6 or 8 or 12 games or finish in 10th or 8th or 6th place in the PL? Those are all bad seasons. We have 6 freshman (who likely will not be able to participate in any summer workouts at HC) and another guy likely sitting out this year* so it’s unrealistic to think they are going to come in and immediately start getting this team to compete at a high level right away. *If Gates becomes eligible immediately and Faw and Butler can make significant strides, we may have a chance to get closer to that corner this year.
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Post by bringbackcaro on May 7, 2020 6:57:40 GMT -5
Have another! The program had a very low ceiling with the cast of characters that Carmody had assembled. Nelson has been able turn that roster over and blow up that ceiling in very impressive fashion, particularly for a guy who is apparently a fish out of water and doesn’t understand recruiting with academic standards (if you were to just believe SOV). No reasonable person believes that this roster transformation is going to lead to a huge turnaround next year, but it does remove that low ceiling that would have been hanging over this program for years to come. Next year is about stabilizing the program and moving forward with Nelson’s vision for how he wants the team to play going forward. The following year, we start to turn the corner, and then it’s hopefully off to the races. Nobody knows how successful Nelson will be at HC, but anyone who would take the roster Nelson inherited for the next few years rather than the roster we have now is just lying to him/herself. To maybe relate this to your days turning around all of the F500 companies, you seem to have wanted Nelson to oversee an “evolution” of continued below-.500 seasons with the sub-par personnel group her inherited, rather than a “revolution” to try and drastically change the trajectory of the program. Look we all want HC basketball to win and for Nelson to succeed. I just don’t see him as the second coming. If, however, he is the coach you suggest, and the PL is a truly bad league, he will deliver a winning record next season. We all know neither assumption would be rational, but anything under 9/10 wins next season will be as disappointing as his first year at the helm. By giving the HC community the 2019-20 season he did, the bar for improvement is low, but we should demand and expect more than marginal progress. For those of us that question what took place last season, that is now in the past and can’t be changed. We need to look forward and expect success and a brighter future. If his recruits are as talented as he suggests, that means he can recruit which is a good thing. The outstanding questions around his ability to teach and develop players, manage his roster, create a winning mindset, and coach during the game remain unanswered. We all all want those questions to be answered with a YES. Btw i enjoy your youthful arrogance, so keep it up it creates a few good laughs during these strange times. I’m just curious why you seem to think last year was an aberration from the previous 10 years, and, in particular, the previous season when we finished in last place in the PL then lost our 3 best players? Those are the years that set the tone for last year, not anything that Nelson came in and radically changed on his own.
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Post by efg72 on May 7, 2020 7:19:17 GMT -5
Perhaps the 2019-20 experience was the result of a program in distress, but his approach did little to help or even made it worse. Those questions I raised about his performance as a coach are unanswered for a reason.
I am sure he is a great guy, who works incredibly hard at his craft, and yes he needed to address a number of issues day 1, but IMO the team was unprepared and his commitment to winning games was a nice to do but not an imperative. To me that approach was unfair to every player, assistant coach and manager on the team.
So let’s agree that we all want HC basketball to become relevant to the basketball world and an enjoyable experience for all interested parties.
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Post by efg72 on May 7, 2020 7:44:47 GMT -5
Five Star email that included this thought for the day
The win column doesn't have a summary next to it that explains your bad luck! Everyone runs into bad luck. Understand that injuries, bad calls, and bad bounces are going to come. Be so prepared for competition that you can weather a storm.
i think that lack of preparation has been the case for most of the past 5 seasons, but none more obvious than the 19-20 season
We all hope for better days ahead
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Post by Tom on May 7, 2020 8:10:05 GMT -5
We have 6 freshman (who likely will not be able to participate in any summer workouts at HC) and another guy likely sitting out this year* so it’s unrealistic to think they are going to come in and immediately start getting this team to compete at a high level right away. Our current pandemic shutdowns hurts HC more than most. We are all hoping strides are made forward even if we disagree on the definition of progress. If there was ever a season when the team needed all the together time possible, this is the season. Never mind the freshmen getting summer workouts, I don't even think our returning scholarship players will have a pick up game of 2 on 2. It's darned unlikely these guys will play together at all this summer, and maybe not until late fall. With so much new blood, this unit is going to have a larger than normal learning curve with less than the standard time to gel..
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Post by HC92 on May 7, 2020 8:23:20 GMT -5
Bottom line is no one here knows what kind of a head basketball coach Brett Nelson will be. We should all agree he was dealt a bad hand and that he turned that bad hand into the most losses in program history. The roster will include only two scholarship players next year who played for another coach and only 3 who were initially recruited by another coach. While we’ll be very young, it’s time to start seeing some tangible improvements to give us hope going forward that Nelson is the right guy.
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