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Post by hc6774 on Jan 11, 2021 8:55:11 GMT -5
Through four games, the shortcomings I see from not playing an OOC schedule, are that the freshmen underappreciated the speed of the college game and how the court becomes 'smaller' because of quicker players with longer arms, e.g., passing lanes that were there in high school are no longer there; and making passes that the player on the receiving end was not expecting. Maybe. But the veterans have more average turnovers than the freshmen. TOs/min, vets v frosh, is about the same - .07 v .08
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Post by WorcesterGray on Jan 11, 2021 9:12:47 GMT -5
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Post by Tom on Jan 11, 2021 9:15:40 GMT -5
Before we get too excited, going into this and looking at the schedule and more specifically, our "pod," I expected we'd win these two against Army but that we'd lose both to BU and be 2-2. So, for me, we won a game I thought we'd lose and lost a game that I thought we'd win. If we can split with Colgate this coming weekend, I'll start getting optimistic. Win them both and I'll recommend Nelson get a Medal of Freedom instead of Belichick. Wow. Sweeping Army was a pretty bold prediction for a preseason consensus last place team returning only 4 players who played meaningful minutes vs a team who had an OOC schedule to develop synergy. Unlike our Crossports poll, did your sweep prediction come after we learned Gates would be eligible?
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Post by hchoops on Jan 11, 2021 9:25:55 GMT -5
Before we get too excited, going into this and looking at the schedule and more specifically, our "pod," I expected we'd win these two against Army but that we'd lose both to BU and be 2-2. So, for me, we won a game I thought we'd lose and lost a game that I thought we'd win. If we can split with Colgate this coming weekend, I'll start getting optimistic. Win them both and I'll recommend Nelson get a Medal of Freedom instead of Belichick. Wow. Sweeping Army was a pretty bold prediction for a preseason consensus last place team returning only 4 players who played meaningful minutes 4 ? Butler, Faw, Wade. Are Reilly’s 174 minutes in 17 games meaningful ?
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Post by sader1970 on Jan 11, 2021 10:03:11 GMT -5
Not that bold of a prediction. AWP was supposed to be the weakest team in our pod, after us, of course. If we can’t win at least 2 of our 4 with them, what are our chances of winning even 4 games total?
Feel free to get excited about winning a close game against powerful Army. I’m happy, don’t get me wrong. Just not like we are ready to win the league happy.
Like me, Tom, you may benefit from being like namesake the Apostle Thomas - doubtful. In the end it worked out for him and hopefully us.
Or as they do at Disney: underpromise and overdeliver.
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Post by Tom on Jan 11, 2021 10:09:44 GMT -5
Wow. Sweeping Army was a pretty bold prediction for a preseason consensus last place team returning only 4 players who played meaningful minutes 4 ? Butler, Faw, Wade. Are Reilly’s 174 minutes in 17 games meaningful ? When I was originally typing I had 3.5 returning players as Reilly played few minutes, but the ones he did play were kind of meaningful. I edited to 4 players Reilly has also been the forgotten man this season. He and Coulibaly only scholarship players to not get into a game (and I'm not sure if Coulibaly is even dressing yet) Early indications are a 9 man rotation with Reilly on the outside looking in
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Post by Tom on Jan 11, 2021 10:18:47 GMT -5
Not that bold of a prediction. AWP was supposed to be the weakest team in our pod, after us, of course. If we can’t win at least 2 of our 4 with them, what are our chances of winning even 4 games total? Feel free to get excited about winning a close game against powerful Army. I’m happy, don’t get me wrong. Just not like we are ready to win the league happy. Like me, Tom, you may benefit from being like namesake the Apostle Thomas - doubtful. In the end it worked out for him and hopefully us. Or as they do at Disney: underpromise and overdeliver. Winning at least 2 out of 4 including the first 2. Either a strategic advantage in the lack of tape against us or Army is going to have more in season improvement than HC. Early sweep of a 2 game series in which HC is the underdog still strikes me as bold. From what I've seem so far, and considering the very tough pod assignment, 4 wins might have been a challenge if the NCAA hadn't given Gates a Christmas present
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Post by DiMarz on Jan 12, 2021 12:12:53 GMT -5
Not that bold of a prediction. AWP was supposed to be the weakest team in our pod, after us, of course. If we can’t win at least 2 of our 4 with them, what are our chances of winning even 4 games total? Feel free to get excited about winning a close game against powerful Army. I’m happy, don’t get me wrong. Just not like we are ready to win the league happy. Like me, Tom, you may benefit from being like namesake the Apostle Thomas - doubtful. In the end it worked out for him and hopefully us. Or as they do at Disney: underpromise and overdeliver. Winning at least 2 out of 4 including the first 2. Either a strategic advantage in the lack of tape against us or Army is going to have more in season improvement than HC. Early sweep of a 2 game series in which HC is the underdog still strikes me as bold. From what I've seem so far, and considering the very tough pod assignment, 4 wins might have been a challenge if the NCAA hadn't given Gates a Christmas present Yes, Gates is a big factor in the teams play...I think the freshman will only get better as the short season moves on...This season may be a blessing in disguise for HC..All the newcomers get a 16 game free season to adjust to the D-1 level, and then will still have 4 years to play if they desire....and if HC and the Patriot League agree..Will Austin and Matt return for a fifth year? ?
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Post by hcpride on Jan 12, 2021 18:22:23 GMT -5
/\ My assumption (FWIW) is that, like football, our hoops kids will generally move through in four years and graduate and move on. That means they may have a Covid year of eligibility to spend elsewhere if they wish. I am not sure if that applies equally to those that transferred in.
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Post by Tom on Jan 13, 2021 8:46:27 GMT -5
I mostly agree. "Mostly" because I think transfers Gates and Townsel will have lost enough credits in the transfer process that they will take 3 years to graduate. Especially Gates. When he walked in the door, there was nothing in place that would waive his needing to sit a year. Also nothing in place that this year wouldn't count towards eligibility. .The original plan was for him to play 2 yeas (2021-22 and 2022-23). I think that will still happen.
Townsel was going to play this year and next, but I'm still guessing he won't be graduating in May 2022 without some overloads somewhere
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Post by DiMarz on Jan 13, 2021 18:57:39 GMT -5
I mostly agree. "Mostly" because I think transfers Gates and Townsel will have lost enough credits in the transfer process that they will take 3 years to graduate. Especially Gates. When he walked in the door, there was nothing in place that would waive his needing to sit a year. Also nothing in place that this year wouldn't count towards eligibility. .The original plan was for him to play 2 yeas (2021-22 and 2022-23). I think that will still happen. Townsel was going to play this year and next, but I'm still guessing he won't be graduating in May 2022 without some overloads somewhere Will Matt and Austin return? Pick up a second major or a minor degree?
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Post by rgs318 on Jan 13, 2021 19:09:16 GMT -5
Too early to know at this time, I would think. I like the idea, but who knows what complications that could man down the road. Let's let this season play out and we'll see what develops. Matt has gotten better every year and Austin is now healthy so (IF THEY ARE INTERESTED AND THE COACHES WANT IT - 2 BIG "IFS") it could be a good idea.
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Post by efg72 on Jan 13, 2021 19:11:14 GMT -5
If it is an issue, I would like to see Austin play football in the spring/fall
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Jan 16, 2021 15:39:39 GMT -5
Okay--to answer all those who have been calling Prediction Poll Headquarters- NO, you cannot change your prediction Again----
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Post by KY Crusader 75 on Feb 21, 2021 17:04:08 GMT -5
Well, the 1-3 prognosticators are now on the sideline as the Crusaders win their 4th game of the year
Interesting comparison versus last year
Last year we won by 14 Mercer 2 Navy 1 Lehigh in overtime
This year (so far with perhaps more to come) 2 Boston U 9 Army 17 Boston U 16 Army
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Post by WCHC Sports on Feb 22, 2021 12:23:16 GMT -5
We've actually beat fewer teams this year, despite winning more games. I don't think that's a sign of improvement.
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Post by hchoops on Feb 22, 2021 12:46:26 GMT -5
We've actually beat fewer teams this year, despite winning more games. I don't think that's a sign of improvement. Sort of an unfair comparison when we have played only four different teams this season compared to 21 last year.
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Post by WCHC Sports on Feb 22, 2021 13:26:11 GMT -5
I thought about that, but one could argue that with more looks, we could have more chances to "steal" a win. The reason why the pros have series in their playoff games instead of an NCAA style do-or-die tournament.
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Post by hchoops on Feb 22, 2021 13:52:48 GMT -5
also the obvious Last season-32 games So far this season- 15
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Post by matunuck on Feb 22, 2021 14:29:36 GMT -5
Quite a few seasons now without a winning record in the PL.
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Post by WCHC Sports on Feb 22, 2021 15:08:57 GMT -5
also the obvious Last season-32 games So far this season- 15 Do you have reason to believe other than basic odds or statistics that HC would beat more teams if they doubled their chances? I think it could be likely, to be fair, but I don't see marked improvement.
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Post by hchoops on Feb 22, 2021 16:15:05 GMT -5
also the obvious Last season-32 games So far this season- 15 Do you have reason to believe other than basic odds or statistics that HC would beat more teams if they doubled their chances? I think it could be likely, to be fair, but I don't see marked improvement. I do. This year’s team, though mostly young, has some depth, a real point guard and Gerrale. This team would have won some of the non conference games last year’s team did not and beaten some of the weaker PL teams.
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